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冷风说币:交投寡淡 近期难有大行情 切勿盲目追多 2022.07.07
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市场消息
今日凌晨美股收盘,三大股指小幅收高。道指涨69.86点,涨幅为0.23%;纳指涨39.61点,涨幅为0.35%;标普500指数涨13.69点,涨幅为0.36%。
美联储周三公布的6月货币政策会议纪要内容显示,美联储7月很可能再次加息75个基点,以遏制40年来最大的通胀压力。即便美国经济已处于衰退边缘,但美联储考虑的重中之重,仍然是对抗通胀。
无论怎么样,市场的炒作首先是对预期的炒作。美联储加息75个基点,符合市场预期,因此美股市场连续走出了四根小阳线。
受美股市场影响,加密货币行情也表现出较好的上涨势头:昨日比特币价格最高至20747美元,创下5天以来的最高价格,日涨幅为3.42%。以太坊也创下一周以来最高,至1175美元高点,日涨幅为3.78%,其他山寨币普遍看涨。
可以说金融始终是要为经济增长服务的,受经济规律的制约。近几日美股市场、加密市场小幅度的反弹,并不能掩盖全球经济有进一步衰退的事实。根据彭博经济的最新预测,美国明年陷入衰退的可能性目前为38%。
有迹象表明,金融市场一直在为美国经济衰退作准备,现在美股市场、比特币等风险资产价格暴跌,实际上可能就是在接受经济衰退这个事实。认清规律,接受现实,不与趋势作对,这是每个投资者必须具备的基本技能!
行情分析
BTC短线支撑 19800-20200美元,压力20800-21200美元。美股全线小幅收涨,对大饼的反弹有利。对于大饼的走势,冷风还是维持原来的观点,七月份反弹,短线震荡反弹,站稳20200美元,会向22000美元压力位再次进攻。操作上建议大家以低多为主,高空为辅。
比特币昨天墨迹的走了一天,也没涨出新高,在在小区间震荡上行,虽然弱,但是上涨趋势还保持着。我们还是要继续看震荡上行。
现在市场众多大V是看多的看空的都有,看空的说等待做空,看多的说等待突破,冷风倒是认为行情不定的情况下不要看太高,比特币现在还保留上涨可能的情况下,在关键压力22000附近就要减仓或者止盈,等突破再做就行了。做空也是等到关键压力跌了再做不迟。冷风的战法是转头吃鱼身,去掉鱼头鱼尾,多空都是如此。今日操作建议还是回调做多为主。
ETH短线支撑1100-1140美元,短线压力1200-1250美元。冷风一直指出以太反弹的力度会比大饼强,以太坊今早是上涨突破前高1170附近的压力,上涨到周线5日线压力1200附近,现在回调中,冷风认为我们需要关注回踩点位1170附近是否能有效支撑,看本次突破是否是有效突破,如果支撑成功,后续可能会上攻日线30均线压力1220和前高1280附近。非有效突破就要继续看1080-1170的震荡。主流币跟随大饼波动,按照大饼节奏操作。重点关注一下UNi,LINK,SUSHI的走势。
山寨币三个原则,大饼稳,板块热,龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点,一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调,存量资金搏弈,局部式行情,而这局部就是山寨币。目前市场会进入一段可操作的回血期,大家要抓住机会。山寨币表现出普涨格局,个人认为此时应该多一点耐心,逢低买入耐心持有一波为主。
公链生态AVAX,atom,near
DEFI:sushi,aave,
web3.0:ENS,BAT
元宇宙:sand,ygg,mana 来源:金色财经 |
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