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原文作者：@thedefiedge 原文编译：FYJ，BlockBeats 内容原载自推特账号 @thedefiedge，探讨交易过程中的认知模型，由 BlockBeats 编译成文。 沃伦·巴菲特和查理·芒格利用心智模型成为了历史上最伟大的投资者。 有数百种心智模型，我发现了其中 14 个可以帮助你成为更好的加密投资者（包括常见的认知陷阱）： 什么是心智模型？心智模型是帮助我们更好地理解世界的概念。 你的思维受到你的经验和偏见的限制——心智模型是从偏见中解放思维的一种方式。 了解它们将帮助你更清晰地思考。 1、蟑螂理论当有坏消息时，可能会有更多坏消息。 看到一只蟑螂，意味着有更多的蟑螂在暗处。 如果一家公司出现坏消息，请记住，它们大概率在为隐藏更多坏事争取时间，例如 Celsius。 当 Terra Luna 和 UST 崩溃时，我们知道这很糟糕，但许多人低估了利空的波及范围。 其他蟑螂，如 Celsius 和三箭资本出现了。 所以，每当有坏消息时，都要做好更坏的打算。 2、三人成虎这是一句中国谚语，假话说一千遍，就可能产生和真话一样的影响力。 想象一下，如果有关于老虎的谣言： 第一个人：他是骗子 第二个人：这是真的吗？ 第三个人：有老虎！ 现在，想象一下成千上万的人在社交媒体上分享。 再加上机器人账号和经济激励措施，传播错误信息比以往任何时候都容易。 谨防没有任何事实或证据的谣言。 3、行为必然性人类行为及其偏见将永远存在。 「历史不会重演，但总会惊人的相似。」——马克·吐温 有趣的是，几千年前写的一些书在今天感觉仍如此重要。 我正在将这种想法应用到下一个周期。 人类是贪婪的。
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