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7.8主流强势拉升 是牛归诱多?还是要多空双杀?
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7月8日热点;
1.马斯克可能放弃收购Twitter
2.美联储理事沃勒:加密货币的下跌对金融系统没有影响
3.Hive Blockchain6月开采278.5个BTC,目前持有3,239个比特币
4.俄罗斯国家杜马通过法律禁止使用数字金融资产进行支付
5.美国敦促日本切断与俄罗斯在加密货币方面的关系
交易心得
抗争的心理
我们从小所受的教育都是建立在抗争和竞争的基础上,如征服自然,战胜各种艰难障碍,与困难搏斗。这种意识已经深深地扎根于我们的内在。当我们进入期货市场还是带着这样的心理意识。我们常常看到一些各行各业的精英,成功人士来到期货市场,但他们失败了,而且遭到了比一般人更彻底的失败。这是因为这些其他行业的成功人士都有一个很强烈的自我,他们不相信自己会失败,也非常不愿意接受自己的失败。他们的成功使他们的个性变得很坚硬,所以当市场变得对他们不利的时候,他们不懂得屈服和退让,而是采用抗争的态度,直到被摧毁。
在期货市场要生存下去往往需要一些反人性的品质,柔软而有弹性的交易者更适合投机市场,坚硬的人很快就会被淘汰。老子非常赞赏柔软的品质,他说柔软的东西更有生命力。当飓风来临,柔软的小草能够安然无恙,坚硬的大树却被连根拔起。
在人性中有这样一个几乎是最顽固的倾向,那就是扞卫自己的观点和不情愿承认自己在判断上出现的失误。所以一个人不管自己是对是错,都会把自己的态度坚持到底。因为那个观点是自己的观点,所以他扞卫的不是真理,而是他的自我。
人性为什么喜欢抗争?因为通过抗争、摩擦、否定,对别人说‘不’,一个人的自我就会被增强。通过抗争他会觉得自己是强有力的,觉得自己是个人物。顺从,屈服,说‘是’却很伤一个人的自我。那就是为什么有那么多的人喜欢跟别人抬杠。那就是为什么只要你去政府部门办事,在每一个办公室,你都会听到‘不’。
人性中这种抗争的天性,这种不愿意屈服,不愿意放弃自己的错误的态度是期货交易的最大障碍。
追求完美的心理
追求完美是一种非常贪婪的心理,是一种极端的心理。因为追求完美,你就不允许有一点瑕疵,就不能承担哪怕小小的损失,该止损时就难以下手执行。因为追求完美,一个人就试图抓住所有的波动,不希望漏过任何行情。每个人都有自己局限性,都有自己不擅长的领域。追求完美的心理很容易导致重仓交易和频繁交易。
毕其功于一役的心理
把单次交易的结果看得过重,图谋在一次交易中暴富。或者拒绝在明显看错市场的情况下止损离场,像守寡一样坚守亏损的头寸。
期货交易是长期的过程,没有必要为一次交易的结果弄得要死要活,死去活来的。有时候接受一些小的损失是非常健康的,这样就能够预防大的亏损。这就像适当的感冒对一个人的整体健康有益无害。
BTC
分析
大饼昨日企稳20000上方,随后多头发力一路上行,高位触及22500一线承压回落,目前币价在22000附近震荡,四小时级别布林带张口向上中轨上移,MACD多头排列金叉向上发散,kdj三线拐头向下有死叉迹象,目前关注12点收线,短期有下行需求,日线级别连阳上行触顶上轨而回落,布林带三线走平处于区间震荡,前期说过本周会先上后下,个人认为本次上涨会再这两天结束会迎来一波深度回踩,日内思路高空为主,上方压力22500-23000,下方支撑21400-21000
ETH
分析
以太坊昨日走势和思路一致,低位跌至1163一线后支撑反弹,一路震荡上行,早间多头发力高位触及1275一线承压回落,恭喜跟上昨日思路的朋友,目前币价在1150附近震荡,四小时级别上方1280有效压制走出回落,短期来看还有下行空间,MACD多头逐步放量双线金叉状态,kdj三线死叉向下,走势同大饼一致思路也是,关注12点收线,日线级别有形成顶部形态的预期,追多是不可取的,思路上建议高空为主低多为辅,上方压力1280-1300,下方支撑1210-1160
免责声明:以上内容均为个人观点,仅供参考!不构成具体操作建议,也不负法律责任。市场行情瞬息万变,文章具有一定滞后性,如果有什么不懂的地方,欢迎咨询
来源:金色财经 |
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