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8.07以太坊（ETH）比特币（BTC）行情分析：周评预测下周开盘冲高回落
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“敲黑板，划重点”先来说说大家最为关注的问题，周一行情预测，先给想法再给解答。周一的交易组要关注两个方面，首先进入工作日交易量必定有所提升，市场活跃度增加开盘短线上冲是需要关注的一个点。这一波行情结束后就要市场就会开始消化积累了两天的市场消息面走势，具体就看那个消息面的时间更早，更有效，笔者的看法是周一开盘上冲回踩的走势，亚盘交易冲高回踩是重点。
周末说当天的行情走势多少显得有些索然无味，我们更应该关注的是市场变化和积压下来的宏观市场消息面。因为周末在没有市场消息面的刺激和成交平淡的情况下绝大所属情况下，行情走势都是维持区间修复为主的，保持区间交易就是最稳健的办法。那么周末对于加密交易者应该去关注什么呢？其实这个问题所有人都知道答案，只是不知道该怎样去理解，今天分享一点自己的看法。
重点是复盘必不可少，对于一周的建议情况的查阅是最为直观的，也是最直接体现本周交易成败的。当然复盘并不是简单查看交易记录，更为重要的从中去计划下一步的交易计划，简单来来说就是对于下一个周行情走势的看法和预测，我个人习惯结合两个方面去整理和预测。
首先在大周期上看，上周值得关注的宏观市场消息面主要包含通货膨胀率是否见顶和经济衰退是否正在加剧。这两点都是可以引起加密市场产生有效波动的依据，通货膨胀率决定了美联储加息的力度和周期，同样经济衰退加剧也是如此。周五非农数据给经济衰退注入了一剂强心针，让市场的担忧有所减缓，也让美联储加息预期有所提高，稳定的失业率也给美联储9月加息增加了砝码。但是由于7月加息过后，美联储官员的模糊措辞依旧是不稳定因素，所以上周的重点数据只能形成短期影响，宏观市场当前整体偏空，影响周期不会太长。
其次需要重点关注的是来自加密市场以太坊合并的影响，无可厚非以太坊的合并是利好加密市场的，目前公布主要数据是8月11号的主网合并难度和市场的认可度，难度需要数据支持；市场认可度就前期以太的涨幅不难确定。同样值得关注的还有目前对于加密货币的监管正在加快脚步，短期来看是阻碍了市场的快速发展，但是长期来看是给予加密货币一个更加稳定的基础，是绝对的利好基础。因此加密市场内部处于一个去伪存真关键时刻，未来是光明的。
综合来看加密市场，宏观市场是出路空局面，内部市场绝对是利好的，后市整体行情还将维持一段时间的调整走势，需要等待宏观市场转向，市场恐慌情绪消退，才能迎来快速的复苏。那么接下来一周交易上就需要关注大区间的调整。关于每日市场走势和行情解读，笔者也将持续更新。
来源：金色财经 |
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