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随着美元指数创下 20 年新高,比特币在 2 万美元附近对抗关键趋势线
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今年没有什么可以让美元指数 (DXY) 下跌,对其对加密以外资产的影响的担忧正在蔓延。
7 月 14 日,比特币 ( BTC ) 在 20,000 美元以下成为新焦点,因为美元走强又创下了两个十年来的新高。
BTC/USD 1 小时蜡烛图 (Bitstamp)。
DXY走势使日元、欧元成为焦点
Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据显示,根据消费者价格指数 (CPI),BTC/USD 从美国通胀新高 40 年 引发的低点反弹。
在短暂跌破 19,000 美元后,该货币对飙升至 20,000 美元上方,然后立即在该心理重要水平下方盘整。
对于链上分析资源 Material Indicators,当涉及到自 6 月中旬以来出现的关键上涨趋势线时,BTC 价格走势现在是“做或死”。
当天,该趋势线约为 19,600 美元,BTC/USD 现在将其作为支撑。
与此同时,由于这一天再次被美元统治,加密市场似乎不太可能获得显着收益。
在 CPI 打印后暴跌之后,美元指数 (DXY) 强势回归,创下 2002 年以来的最高水平——这一现象在今年的大部分时间里都有体现。
新的峰值为 108.64,与 24小时低点相比增加了 1% 以上。
美元指数 (DXY) 1 小时蜡烛图。
除了对比特币和风险资产的短期负面影响外,美元走强对其他主要世界货币也是个坏消息,尤其是日元是 BTC 评论员关注的焦点
“日元今天再次遭受重创。日本银行冻结在原地,等待美联储逆转。在那之前,他们将继续摧毁他们的货币,因为他们别无选择,”流行的推特账户 Stack Hodler当天辩称。
“日本央行 + 日元是对欧洲央行 + 欧元未来的一瞥。你明白为什么比特币很重要了吗?”
正如 Cointelegraph报道的那样,一些人认为,美联储同样别无选择,只能在 2022 年底停止刺激通胀的加息。
“为了应对今天的 CPI 数据显示广泛且加速的通胀,短期 FF 期货向上移动,意味着 FF 的峰值在 12/22 之前达到 3.68%,随后@federalreserve 立即将利率下调至 1/24 的 2.9%, ”投资者和对冲基金经理比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)在Twitter 帖子中写道,以回应 CPI 数据。
“市场隐含地预计美联储将在年底前将我们推入衰退,然后降息作为回应。”
对山寨币重生的信念不大
一位分析师警告说,谈到山寨币,过去 24 小时的平稳进展并不是假设价格不会进一步下跌的理由。
在当天的最新更新中,Crypto 的 Il Capo 预测市值排名前十的加密货币中至少有两种代币将出现看跌走势。
例如,以太 ( ETH ) 威胁要回到三位数的价格标签。
卡尔达诺 ( ADA ) 在跌破支撑位后面临更糟糕的情况,该支撑位已在数周内进行了六次测试。
“支撑被打破,现在被测试为阻力。非常看跌,”他评论道。
尽管如此,研究公司 Santiment 的数据还是揭示了山寨币可能反弹的可能性,今年“跌幅比大多数都大”。
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来源:金色财经 |
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