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免责声明：以下分析的结果是作者的唯一意见，不应被视为投资建议。
在最近的销售活力飙升将需求区域转变为供应区域（绿色，矩形）之后，XRP 最近的增长达到了 0.39 美元附近的稳定水平。
因此，山寨币的抛售压力逐渐增加导致 EMA 丝带出现看跌反转。这一下降阶段导致每日时间范围内的上升通道崩盘。
与此同时，买家无法找到令人信服的反弹理由来阻止突破的流血。收于 0.3319 美元上方将有助于买家在短期内恢复力量。截至发稿时，XRP 的交易价格为 0.335 美元。
XRP 日线图
在上升通道（白色）中横穿七周后，卖家掌控了趋势，在图表上引发了强烈的回调。0.39 美元的水平被证明是 11 周的强劲阻力位。
虽然供应区限制了购买力，但山寨币标志着其 EMA 带下方的反转。发稿时看跌三角旗设置似乎推动了突破，重新测试了 0.33 美元的基线。
空头可能希望利用该区域的弱点，尤其是在南向 20 和 50 EMA 之间的差距不断扩大的情况下。
从 0.33 美元支撑位的潜在反弹可能使 XRP 重新测试 0.35 美元区域。然而，最终收于该支撑位下方只会加剧未来几个交易日的看跌压力。
最重要的是，最近的卖出量远高于买单。多头必须重新进入 0.33 美元的水平，以防止立即跌向 0.32 美元的区域。
基本原理
过去十天，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 保持在远低于中线的位置。最终收于 38 阻力位上方可能会再次证实抛售压力加剧的缓解。
此外，柴金资金流向 (CMF) 标志着更高的低谷，描绘了与价格相当温和的看涨背离。突破零水平可能会重新引发购买量的上升。此外，DMI 线维持看涨位置，但 ADX 预测方向趋势较弱。
结论
鉴于 XRP 对 EMA 丝带的看跌翻转，以及购买量疲软，空头将在未来几个交易日继续疯狂。然而，在屈服于长期看跌倾向之前，CMF 的分歧可能会推动近期增长。在任何一种情况下，目标都将与讨论的相同。
此外，密切关注比特币的走势和更广泛的情绪对于确定看涨无效的机会也很重要。
来源：金色财经 |
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