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美联储传声筒：今夜非农若再爆雷，大幅降息将迫在眉睫
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比推消息，美联储传声筒 Nick Timiraos 在 8 月非农数据即将公布之际发表文章称，今晚的就业报告将影响美联储的降息幅度。如果 8 月非农又是一份糟糕的就业报告，可能导致美联储大幅降息 50 个基点，但如果就业状况良好，将使美联储保持在降息 25 个基点的轨道上。在美联储 9 月 17 日至 18 日的会议上，辩论的焦点是，是开始以更传统的 25 个基点进行降息，还是以更大幅度的 50 个基点进行降息，以防止就业市场出现不希望看到的疲软。
将于今晚公布的的 8 月份招聘和就业报告将是做出降息决定的关键。一份像样的就业报告可能会促使官员们以降息 25 个基点开始可能的一系列降息。周五也恰好是美联储官员在自行设定的会前噤声期开始之前可以公开沟通的最后一天。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯和美联储理事沃勒定于在就业报告公布后发表讲话，这是为即将到来的会议设定预期的最后机会。
毕马威首席经济学家 Diane Swonk 表示：有非常有力的理由支持降息 50 个基点。劳动力市场没有陷入衰退，但已经如履薄冰。即使周五的数据不错，劳动力市场的疲软也在加剧。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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