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文章来源:glassnode insights 2022年对比特币和以太坊来说是艰难的一年,它们的估值受到了严重的打击。由于持续时间长,资本破坏规模大,我们可以合理地认为2022年是数字资产历史上破坏最大的熊市。 迄今为止,对几乎所有资产价格来说,2022年都是充满历史挑战的一年,股票、债券和数字资产都在不断紧缩的货币条件下挣扎。宏观经济中的通货膨胀和流动性收紧,给过度杠杆化的加密货币生态系统带来了极大的压力。最近的痛苦主要来自于高杠杆的资金,再加上链上和链下的抵押品到期后的再抵押。 在这种情况下,比特币和以太坊的交易价格都已经跌破其上一周期的历史高点,历史上头一次发生。随后让市场的很大一部分陷入未实现的损失,所有2021-22年的投资者现在都处于浮亏状态。随着这种财务上的痛苦,越来越多的投资者正在清算他们的仓位,实现损失达到创纪录级别。 在这篇文章中,我们将调查比特币和以太币可观察到的资本破坏的程度和统计规模。这样做的目的是确定最近的抛售事件有多惨烈,我们还与以前的周期进行了比较,衡量此次抛售所造成的伤害。 比特币:回撤和持续时间首先,我们与2015年、2018年和2019年的熊市周期相比较,评估目前比特币下跌的规模和持续时间。2018年和2019年的熊市周期。我们还将考虑2021-22年熊市的两个定义,一个是从2021年4月14日的前高开始,另一个是2021年11月8日的前高。正如我们在 |
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