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7.6以太坊（ETH）比特币（BTC）行情分析：美联储会议买预期卖事实？
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6月底的时候笔者就曾经提到到过当前加密市场面临两大不确定，一是加密市场内部一些交易平台资不抵债，一是美联储因通胀问题可能进一步激进加息问题。时间到7月初目前基本可以确认的是，加密市场内部情况是符合预期的，目前多个加密交易所正在被清算和申请破产，整个加密市场也在这一次的熊市中清理掉那些不符合市场的因素。
同样值得注意的是凌晨2两点的美联储FOMC将会公布6月货币政策会议纪要，此次会议公布了自1994年以来首次75个基点的加息幅度，对于整个加密市场的影响是巨大的。对于这一次史无前例的加息过后美国通膨的变化事关重要，同样也会决定7月加息的幅度。当前对于加密投资者的来说重点需要关注的是本次的预期加息基点数和对于继续加息75个基点的概率问题，当前市场预期加息75个基点的概率是93%这是一个非常到的概率，会议继续提高预期概率将会利空加密市场，低于预期概率则会短线利好加密市场。
7月6日比特币（BTC)行情分析解读：比特币日线上看，整体看从3月底到现在，盘面上始终是在走震荡下跌这样的趋势行情，前面笔者也是整体分析过当前的下跌过程的，目前价位明显的是处于二次探底后的反弹走势中，对于当前是否会形成底部走势目前没有明确的底部形态。行情短线走势上看，日内大概率会出现反弹回踩的走势，也就是在美联储会议纪要前买预期，会议后卖数据的行情。所以日内短线操作上考虑19300-20800区间交易本次的会议记要行情。
7月6日比特币（BTC)日内部分操作计划：比特币日内操作上关注反弹20500位置空单进场，目标关注19800-19500位置分批止盈，止损放在21000上方位置；下方回踩19500位置支撑，多单进场，止损19000位置，目标20000-20500区间直接离场。
7月6日以太坊（ETH)行情分析解读：以太坊方面走势日线来看结合本周以来的小幅反弹拉升走势，当前K线结构上正在形成上升三角形的走势，若是借助凌晨美联储会议纪要能够突破当前三角区间，大概率会迎来一次波段行情。以太坊当前上方三角压力线重点把握1180和1250两个位置，首次突破1180后能够冲击1250承压回踩1180上方的话上升三角形才能得到完善。日内交易上需要重点关注加息预期的变化情况，75个基点的加息预期率升高，会出现短线利空走势，加息预期率减低，行情则会出现主动的反弹走势。
7月6日以太坊（ETH)日内部分操作计划：以太坊（ETH）操作上关注反弹上方1165位置空单进场，止损1200上方位置，目标关注1100-1080一线位置；下方回踩1080位置短线支撑多单进场，止损1040下方位置，目标关注1150-1180位置。
来源：金色财经 |
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