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[lastpost] => 2688723 美国2024年大选已花费147亿美元，或为史上最贵 1730688420 比推快讯
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为何第三大巨鲸昨日买入比特币,持续加仓呢？
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美联储7月份加息75个基点概率回落至90.6%,但取而代之的 是加息100个基点概率为9.4%,这是明显的利空信号，今晚 20： 30将会揭晓6月份的CPI数据，目前预期值依然为8.8%, 最终的数据将会给美联储货币政策做出直接指导，市场当前预 期是较差的，这从加息福度概率的变化可以看出来，同时近两 天的美股走势也不是很好，说明先知先觉的资本并不是非常看 好这次的数据值，但无论如何，只要不超过8.8%,就属于利空 落地后的利好。同时，从7月份的商品走势来看，原油和大宗 多数品种回落明显，会对7月份的CPI数据预期有所提升，给9 月份的加息提供较小的空间，所以无论今晚数据如何，对于后 面的预期来说都会是向好的，市场由此开启一波上涨是极有可 能的，这个时间点和这个位置，应该大胆的看多。
市场如同一潭死水，几乎没有太多有关加密市场的信息，然而 斐本却没有停歇，过去24h又有大量的机构筹集资金发行基 金，如Cathay Innovation的第三支基金完成10亿欧元募资， Lightspeed印度和东南亚的第四支基金完成5亿美元融资， Multicoin Capital推出4.3亿美元的新基金。不难发现，这两天 无论是募集基金的数量和资金量均出现巨大福度的提升，这说 明机构开始在这个位置大量布局，万亿美元以下的加密市场， 一定屋于布局者的天堂，大家一定要珍惜这样的机会。
芒格重申了反对加密市场的立场，认为币圈是个开放的下水 道，里面充满了恶毒生物，永远不要买它。每个人站的角度不 同，所以看待事物的结局也不同，芒格站在他的立场说出这样 的话没有任何问题，我们站在发展的角度看，自然有我们的立 场，最终孰对孰错，时代会给我们一个答案。
美国SEC推迟ARK的比特币现货ETF申请至8月30日，推迟决定 后，Bitwise首席合规官给SEC施压，表示不能理解SEC拒绝 Bitwise比特币ETF的原因，不排除就比特币ETF对美国SEC提 起诉讼。比特币现货ETF呼声越来越大，SEC的压力也越来越 大，距离通过已经越来越近，耐心等这一利好的落地吧。
前几天斯里兰卡政府因巨额债务无法偿还破产了，孙哥迅速出 现表示WEB3可以拯救斯里兰卡，打算在斯里兰卡搞DAO治 理，斯里兰卡政府一听这个事肯定不行，央行今天警告民众不 要使用加密货市。孙哥这招太损了，等于给暴乱的民众添了一 把火，给了他们更多的重建希望，政府则遭到落井下石，这样 的事发生在哪个国家，也是难以容忍的。
Gamestop的NFT市场上线苜日仅赚取4.5万美元的交易费，这 家随时破产的美国上市公司，转型做加密市场也没能成功，这 点手续费怕是还不够其平告开发成本，越陷越深，在经济衰退 周期里，怕是难以起死回生了，从侧面也说明NFT市场的冷 清。
恐慌15,极度恐慌。
等待迎接晚上的剧烈波动吧，无论是加密还是美股。 来源：金色财经 |
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