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最糟糕的比特币「BTC」抛售是否即将到来
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最大的加密货币比特币 [BTC]继续在 21,000 美元上下挣扎。截至发稿时，BTC 的交易价格为 2.11 万美元，经历了 5% 的新修正。嗯，这是故事的前半部分。
这个故事的后半部分讲述了一个不同的画面。在此，2 万美元的水平为 BTC 创造了“极端需求”，从而创造了新的支撑位。
BTC从灰烬中升起？
分析公司 Glassnode发布的最新 Week OnChain 时事通讯，讨论了随着最糟糕的抛售可能结束的势头转变。然而市场仍然需要时间来治愈这些“伤口”。
持有人供应集中度的链上指标描绘了一个相当有趣的前景，短期持有人展示了“令人惊讶”的积极叙述。
在这里，分析绘制了长期与短期持有者（和交易所）的图表，并通过他们的“未使用的已实现价格分布”来衡量每个组。
人们可能会注意到 20,000 美元的未使用已实现价格分布 (URPD) 比比特币的其他价格水平更高，这是由短期持有者推动的——他们也表现出 30,000 美元和 40,000 美元的“需求上升”。
该图指出了 20,000 美元附近的“极端需求”。此外，注意到从 40,000 美元到 30,000 美元到 20,000 美元的每个心理价格水平，因为它创建了一组新的 STH。在这种情况下，Glassnode补充道：
“看到这些 STH 持有的 40,000 美元至 50,000 美元水平的代币在未来几周开始成熟到 LTH 状态，这将是有建设性的，这有助于支持这一论点。”
尽管这对于 BTC 的持有者来说可能是一个好的开始，但加密市场仍在复苏，尤其是对于长期持有者而言。
许多长期持有者为卖方做出了贡献，而 URPD 图表基本上代表了迄今为止的“尘埃落定”状况。
当市场试图恢复更高时，这些高供应集中节点可能会成为坚定的阻力。
但耐心是这里的关键。这与 LTH 在 2018 年熊市期间查看其过去盈利能力时所经历的持续时间相同。
在这里，LTH 的近期盈利能力连续近 400 天明显低于年度表现。下跌的持续时间和深度与 2018 年的熊市低点相似。因此，为上述论点提供了额外的权重。
综上所述，Glassnode认为，
“如果已实现价格和长期持有人已实现价格可以作为支撑位，短期内的动能表明上涨将继续。从长远来看，势头表明最糟糕的投降可能已经结束，但随着基础修复的继续，可能需要更长的恢复时间。”
来源：金色财经 |
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