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美联储将提高利率 加密货币会发生什么
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美联储将于本周三加息,加密市场参与者将密切关注新加息将变得多么激进的线索,因此让我们仔细看看今天最新的加密货币新闻。
从芝加哥商品交易所的FedWatch工具判断,交易员预计美联储将利率提高75个基点,这是77.5%的结果概率。然而,这也意味着市场价格有22.5%的可能性,美联储将把利率提高100个基点,这可能是现代美联储时代最大的一次加息。由于美国的高通胀数据,加息100个基点的可能性最近成为人们关注的焦点。数据显示,通货膨胀率达到9.1%,高于分析师的预期,高于一个月前的8.6%。
自几周前最大的通胀报告发布以来,最大的通胀报告导致市场反弹,BTC 已上涨至 14%。据总部位于新加坡的贸易公司 QCP Capital 称,鉴于通胀正显示出见顶迹象,美联储不会加息 100 个基点,但该公司表示,随着市场意识到这一点,可以预期小幅反弹,该公司在更新中写道:
“自高通胀政策出台以来,市场一直在果断地预测7月美联储会议上调100个基点的可能性。目前,100个基点的20%可能性仍在定价中,但我们认为75个基点是美联储将做的最多。因此,随着100个基点完全被定价,预计还会出现另一次提振。”
美联储将提高利率,但《华尔街日报》报道称,所谓的隔夜指数掉期表明,市场预计美联储将在年底之前加息,然后在明年6月前开始降息。同样的数据显示,美联储将把利率提高75个基点,预计到年底利率将在3.3%左右。美联储政策的预期好转令投资者感到惊讶,高级投资组合经理吉姆·卡伦(Jim Caron)的报告称:
“从预期的角度来看,它并没有像这样极端。”
来源:金色财经 |
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