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[seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a>
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欧盘是欧洲博采公司开出的博采赔率, 投注的对象包罗万有,并非只限于足球博采, 当然,我们只关心足球博彩这一部份, 由于每场比赛只存在三种结果,即胜、负、平三种可能,因此对比赛分别开设三种结果的赔率。下面举一个例子来 ( j3 X9 w* N9 Y. T$ x, m
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说明:
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例如冠军杯皇马主场对拜仁,欧盘开出为主队2.25、平局3.00、客队3.00,
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9 S# r: `% u+ @; I亦即是说:
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你若博皇马胜下注100元, 若主队胜出你就赢得利润125元,
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* L0 Q% O, X2 H4 s, `你若博两队打平下注100元, 若主队胜出你就赢得利润200元,
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, n1 @$ y8 @1 _! v- r6 o你若博拜仁胜下注100元, 若主队胜出你就赢得利润200元, , y. `" E0 h2 v
, S) ?- X% a: z& i6 F有一点要注意:赔率已包含有投注的本金,,所以计算利润的时候要除去本金的数目 。
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那么,这个赔率又是怎样开出来的,代表了什么含义呢?其实就是博采公司通过分析对阵双方的各种资讯,诸如出场阵容,以往交手战绩,主队主场战绩,客队客场战绩,在联赛中的成绩排位,球队最近的状态斗志,俱乐部的运作情况等等方面因素之后,估算出这场赛事胜、平、负三种结果的概率,然后再通过一个公式来计算出各自应开的赔率, 这个公式就是:
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A÷B=C-C10%=D ) Y$ e; H, N$ v
9 V! X$ I& P, m- P6 ^0 P9 wA就是计算百份比概率的基数100%
7 ^! Q' @# ^! |/ IB就是博采公司分析得出的百份比概率 + M& ~ G) A6 k
C就是A÷B得出的结果%
; ^# r# n# [0 L0 j" ~3 Y/ n( n: ~D就是最后计算出来的赔率
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2 [$ u$ s4 C# F1 K( e* q' P6 [* d# k还是以上面的例子来解析,比如博彩公司通过分析得出皇马胜出的概率为40%,那么就用这个公式来计算如下: 0 c* @7 W H9 g- G/ I
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第一步、100÷40=2.5%
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0 ]. s2 j. X* ]5 T& d& q 第二步、2.5-10%=2.25% " V; X$ d. q, o& q& {2 \
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那么,博彩公司就会开出皇马胜的赔率为2.25% ; ? p1 ?/ [+ L8 i
+ B+ d# l. m, H& g2 H如此类推,如博彩公司通过分析得出打平和拜仁胜的概率各为30%,那么就用这个公式来计算如下:
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. }. P% j: N1 ^. I2 a q; C 第一步、100÷30=3.33 , M1 M9 T: q, I
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第二步、3.33-10%=3%
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那么,博彩公司就会开出平局和拜仁胜的赔率都是3.00,于是,我们就看到这场比赛开出的欧盘是2.25---3.00---3.00% ) n' g* {9 @$ _* t3 ?' Z. M- w6 ]
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反过来,若是对欧赔有深入研究的朋友一看到这个赔率,就知道主队胜的概率是四成,打平的概率是三成,客队胜的概率是三成。所以我们把百份比概率中的绝大部份有用的数据都计算了一遍, 以下就是计算出来的数据列表:
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% E8 i8 k, U1 Y- }& D' ?1.10=81% 1.12=80% 1.14=79%1.15=78% 1.16=77% 1.17=76% 1.20=74-75%
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5 ?% U9 p/ e$ Q1 T1.22=73% 1.25=71-72% 1.28=70% 1.30=69% 1.33=67-68% 1.36=65-66% , I8 |+ T) T. b5 `0 X
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1.40=63-64% 1.45=61-62% 1.5=60% 1.53=59% 1.55=58% 1.57=57% 1.60=56% . {( w/ K/ G# }" u x& W
/ Y. w0 i2 q" y9 H) j5 N1.62=55% 1.65=54% 1.70=53% 1.72=52% 1.75=51% 1.80=50% 1.85=48-49%
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# A9 ^* p& p0 J' l1.90=46-47% 2.00=44-45% 2.10=42-43% 2.20=41% 2.25=40% 2.30=39% 3 e/ U; ^7 V. e( L7 u u' |! O
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2.35=38% 2.40=37%2.50=36%2.60=35%2.65=34%2.70=33%2.80=32%2.90=30-31% 4 s* W& }* v& ], L
' I' o) I+ M E/ R3.00=29% 3.20=28% 3.30=27% 3.40=26% 3.60=25% 3.70=24% 3.90=23% 8 g) N! A- N; W" {1 A" V# ^
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4.00=22% 4.20=21% 4.50=22% 4.70=19% 5.00=18% 5.30=17% 5.50=16%
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6.00=15% 6.50=14% 7.00=13% 7.50=12% 8.00=11% 9.00=10% 10.00=9% 2 \6 i3 @! H9 O L. f+ @1 |( q
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11.00=8% 12.00=7% 15.00=6% 18.00=5% 23.00=4% 30.00=3%
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下面说一下怎样来运用这个数据列表:
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假设我们看到某场比赛的欧赔为主队1.80,平局3.20,客队4.00,通过数据列表我们就可知道博彩公司认为主队胜的概率为50%,打平的概率为28%,客队胜的概率为22%,一目了然,简单实用,有一些差别细微的赔率列表中没有列出的,我们可以取它的左右平均值,如赔率3.10即=28.5%的概率。欧洲有许多博彩公司,彼此的消息来源不同,对不同比赛肯定也有着不同的看法。但这种分歧不应该过大,如果分析各个公司的赔率,发现某个公司的赔率与其他公司的赔率明显不同,那么往往意味着这家公司对这场比赛有着更准确的判断。 8 b: u9 N9 W8 ~; Z% Q' @
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美式赔率基础 ( b" t/ ^& b; _8 b: Z# G. s
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在国外的博彩公司网站上我们经常可以看到陪率显示为“-110”或“+108”。这是什么意思呢?我们在这里给大家解释一下。
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1.凡是数字前面是减号就表示你需要付出多少本金以赢得以100为基数的利润。比如“-110”就表示你如果想赢100就需要付出110的成本。简单点说就是出110博100。“-500”的意思是要赢的100利润就要投500本金。 : ], r( ~1 R8 J, @! r
0 l/ |% z5 A. x! ^: Y) P+ V2.另外一种情况,数字前面是加号的就好理解了,表示出100本金可以赢得的利润。“+104”表示出100可以赢104利润,“+450”表示出100可以赢450利润。
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3 r' N# X Y; C把美式陪率换算成欧式陪率也很简单,分两种情况: $ p8 z, Z; v) j1 P* |( U
* m5 @' Y1 J" m. n0 {5 F6 z& c5 Y1.数字前面是减号的,就用100除以减号后数字加1。比如“-110”计算成欧赔公式为:100÷110+1=0.91+1=1.91。“-500”计算成欧赔公式为:100÷500+1=0.20+1=1.20 |
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