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; N0 | o& B- T美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在11日批准11档比特币现货ETF,加密货币产业迎来重要里程: W1 H0 Z8 x; G+ O
碑,市场开始乐观认为,以太坊现货ETF接下来也可望获批,目前共有7档申请等待SEC核准,包括贝莱德、富- |$ B3 c( J2 r, r$ d" p
达、灰度、VanEck、方舟/21Shares、Invesco/Galaxy及Hashdex。7 J# E$ }4 j; t; ]- r5 Y9 P' u
SEC对VanEck、方舟/21Shares和Hashdex以太坊现货ETF的最终审批决定期限落在2024年5月,其他申请则在
7 `+ J; q% T" N3 w% u) ^2024年的6~8月内。
- h# ^7 c, ]4 G$ P$ ]以太坊现货ETF今年底前推出?
S [; o- W8 Z0 b9 d而据Santiment在X平台发布的民意调查显示,52.4%网友认为,美国将在今年底前推出以太坊现货ETF,9.8%的
: j+ y( V7 r! d) N7 e, g网友更乐观,预期本月就能获得批准,另有26.5%看好在明年或之后批准,11.3%的人认为永远不会发生。
5 L+ l% t4 ?" s @" _然而,美国投资银行TD Cowen认为,SEC不会很快就批准以太坊现货ETF,TD Cowen Washington Research
0 N: J& u2 b6 N* H: cGroup在本周稍早发布的一份报告中表示:预期SEC不会很快批准其他加密货币ETP。因为SEC希望从比特币ETP
% L8 ]* b; p5 b- g9 d) ~中获取经验,然后再批准以太坊或其他加密货币ETP。等待批准的时间可能不会长达26个月,但很可能要到美国
: E' ~4 D; o1 Z4 |总统大选之后。2 J, t1 ^$ I; i3 R4 E7 G
摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou也看衰以太坊现货ETF在今年5月获批的可能性,他向The Block表示:' G7 t# p! D" o2 X, ^( R6 V
我们认为,如果SEC在5月批准现货以太坊ETF,就需要将以太坊归类为商品,而非证券,类似于比特币,但这还
% x$ e/ V& U9 {4 i- [' g' [) b3 r远未确定,我认为,SEC在5月前将以太坊归类为商品的可能性,不会超过50%。
. ^% u5 B. a# U. j& d) H以太坊价格一度飙升2 J; T2 e7 M, l) r0 D3 Y2 }- B% H
此前,由于市场乐观预期以太坊现货ETF可望获批,在比特币现货ETF通过后,以太坊价格一度狂飙,再加上贝莱
& V# ~8 X4 A) B2 j& y德执行长LarryFink发布言论,称看到以太坊ETF的价值,以太坊在13日冲上2,717.32美元,创下自2022年5月9日" D' d# w. g2 w, w2 I
以来的新高,不过随后又急挫。! a1 h& {0 R6 |+ Y3 e u
至截稿前,报2551美元,近24小时跌幅0.1%。2 [3 e6 X7 W2 A* L- r4 |
尽管TD Cowen、摩根大通皆不看好以太坊现货ETF很快获批,但彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart在年初表示,
* U. o q5 m; I" B& J) t: ASEC在去年批准9档以太坊相关期货ETF时,已「含蓄地」默认以太坊是商品,他看好今年可望有首个以太坊现货
' A w& K& L6 a) M( `" SETF上市。
$ o4 w: t- p+ A# U6 s9 [
; x, k5 X' D8 R! p4 |0 [* t, y- X- C3 k8 [$ x. I, Q
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