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[虚拟币交流]
Fundstrat：比特币现货ETF一旦闯关成功！将飙上15万美元（转载）
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根据华尔街投资研究公司Fundstrat的预测，如果比特币现货ETF获准在美国上市，到
! h7 k! d a: z2024年底为止，比特币将有望飙升至15万美元，甚至是18万美元。
2 V1 i# _& M2 a z a; @Fundstrat共同创办人、研究主管Tom Lee周三在接受CNBC老牌节目《财经论谈(Squawk Box)》采访时表示，比
; K* q' Q/ F' q$ n特币现货ETF上市潮一旦涌现，势必将改变比特币的供需结构，推动币价大幅上涨。
. e6 ` ]5 e8 i0 `接着当被问及「比特币明年底的目标价位会是多少」时，TomLee更是毫无保留地表示：若比特币现货ETF在美国/ Z9 Y$ i2 \0 ~" Z& y1 r) k/ `
获放行，我认为比特币的每日需求量将超越每日供应量，预期均衡价格将会超过15万美元，甚至可能达到18万美, O0 ]( ~- y F4 S- d; O: \' E
元。
* `2 n8 t- E; Y# t I# a! yTom Lee另外还提到，即使比特币现货ETF申请遭驳回也不必太过悲观，因为他相信比特币明年4月的减半事件仍
' G0 v' e- r5 Q {- L将激励币价走高，惟上涨动能有限，预计不会冲破10万美元。
$ Q. m7 W j9 m6 b$ {华尔街巨头贝莱德(BlackRock)今年6月首次提交比特币现货ETF上市申请，当时不仅让其他发行人备受鼓舞，纷纷+ b; j* P: ~" i9 k2 |4 @
竞相提交类似文件，还成功激励加密货币市场强劲反弹。
& x0 u2 h. b6 O根据彭博ETF分析师Eric Balchunas、James Seyffart的估计，这些比特币现货ETF获得批准的可能性为65%，且8 h7 p i2 R7 O9 |* d* B- s1 Z
获批机率在贝莱德提交申请后出现明显增幅。/ Z7 f) u, N5 _* Y- Z6 G
& _& J2 y! W1 @* w" ]) e |
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