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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。
( f4 S1 Y) N" `" V) u7 h持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。0 J p. x7 g; `
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。5 b- o. y* Z, H6 K# K3 @
% R: s1 |5 |& I& P, Q8 H! E一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
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进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。& @, T$ R Q! [" b0 L" ~. e$ ^# W
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现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。
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* I& r+ r0 b# q0 \; @9 U但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。
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; e' a2 s" z3 M* g) h0 O$ GD这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？# ] q# x% W! S9 w
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验' ?8 w" c( t% @# c5 D3 s
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。/ E8 n, [+ q: U& A6 f
* V( g# i* F: {+ p8 Y0 k从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。) b$ ~4 O$ J1 j
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自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
$ N1 {( j9 S+ X8 {4 a* A: {. F7 k A7 Q2 |2 a. p! B$ S
Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。$ p( Q: o) C3 d0 Q. s8 A, S
; ], x. E: T/ A5 F+ A4 T按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。2 d* z# c% s' w9 x; ~3 O" X$ e
! v2 _' i' D) E; S5 u不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。
$ m5 ?, _0 D+ T& u8 ?6 ^5 A! i3 m/ ^# v. i) T
正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。0 m5 q. _& ~7 [1 u2 N4 a
" A' z" m \4 t8 q1 |; L8 Q经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现$ t* x" G- W) [1 Z3 ?! e$ b# F; K( O/ A
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。# s B! V, l0 ?! f0 E) N7 i
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反应如何？迅速而残酷。 D4 L+ ]5 c! C
4 c# z9 j* t# \4 f3 \6 o5 L5 s, f短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。
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, h" x1 m5 @! F4 H8 a( V这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。; Z- w9 U. c, l$ s1 T
: Q0 m! R2 ]: d' |8 g随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。, M6 G& [; }, H g9 X
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