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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好
' `/ m* D+ F3 e& J' c6 B) W我是币圈小沫沫~
0 a2 a/ M. p9 B, |ETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。 ! \. I; [5 t$ n3 j5 c
9 r5 w7 Y. ~2 p+ [1 W今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌
' M$ p: V& t/ M+ P# ~至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。
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六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH
/ w6 j2 i) @# @. O# C; ~% H3 m" @% |该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。
8 R. P; V+ _( z! D/ n有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。
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7 B5 f+ ~4 {+ b( [0 q3 @Oasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。
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9 e5 ]5 L4 V* N+ p6 w* [) K果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 - [9 B. L2 L- @ s% V. A+ L; R+ [- o
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。
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以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师 4 d) D( D2 [9 ^9 S0 O+ n3 ~% i
以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。 9 h' t) |# f, S: \$ m/ a+ J5 D
Brandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。 4 c" p- x2 {4 r; J2 x2 e( b
由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。 9 u& |9 I7 b5 j: l% Q
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Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。 * E3 F0 E% I, i/ A
尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 ) I2 r. P" H: x+ f
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如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
/ ~ z5 }& I; ?# i, o相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。
6 Z; z" G* x% l4 A. i/ h此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。 . B5 S( _- e& ]$ C2 J% `; R S
好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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