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[lastpost] => 2794427 2025 年加密货币网络钓鱼损失暴跌 83%，但“鲸鱼狩猎”攻击却上升（转） 1767577100 sunnyclare001
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当前离线
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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。 % }! H, j, X# h; c$ P* d7 ?+ W
现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、 2 z) @' f$ \: E" G
也不是cpi暴雷问题！ ; W6 P5 H" R: f% m* ^
- V( A$ a+ B3 V- b) y# ]7 Q而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。 8 f# P7 |2 y4 o# c: Q2 m
失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。 ! E5 y1 p6 N7 _, X' J; R5 k
三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。
. E( E/ W3 t; U; y) H, n* R i市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题，
# E" O' M; P0 L市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 9 s0 ~6 Z s5 H p
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！
5 R$ ? w3 ~# |3 b; y% B* D. D S除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。
2 B4 n7 D: U% q: r$ A. d) D直白的说，
2 E! C5 i0 z0 c/ [! t市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。
% z) X# h6 P+ G& s' s/ o- {下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。 ' K# D2 |" c. _: i! T: n1 ?+ S3 \2 D) X
即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。 ) B7 ^- e# v5 j: N" ~
但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。 % F5 U6 ^; X" \. |9 J* r8 e3 ^
被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 3 C, i5 v5 C3 |& \, R D4 z
短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。
* J) Z9 l. g' z. O跟趋势走，跌透为止。 3 |2 I& I1 a6 N b: j, ?6 V
老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。 % \+ d7 G- O# `) I8 Z" m
下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。
6 ^! C3 f) T$ K$ G4 A; S. n环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。 & {( O$ D9 w! V$ j% B
夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、 5 N4 R i. y. Y& v* r, k. _
大饼反弹至18900高空 ' M' B3 ?7 Y, h7 H- O
补仓19100 防守19300 4 d# Q4 e- r# B; C" @
目标18100-17950
7 G5 v: l' r( R- u; ~破位17650 0 A9 x# a5 q( w$ i: B! |+ a
持续下看至17000
5 \# J# `) I& G) b# u1 ^以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018
3 X+ Y2 a8 _' m1 m ?/ D' p防守1030 ; s( ?2 c3 W; L, I; v# V/ @; D# ~% x) N
目标910-890 2 R2 u |" `3 O+ [7 b
还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 3 ~) \( F8 |4 @, w3 o
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。
/ b) L1 z& ]3 _还有尾声机会。
: O6 F6 P3 y# A+ S( L8 i" H) D& }再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。 4 O, P1 H6 C% S9 U( L7 \
来源：金色财经 |
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