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[lastpost] => 2763641 韩国六大银行“积极考虑参与测试”，计划将国库补助金数字化为加密货币（转） 1757298239 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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" c' r7 B$ A* a! A# a% u7 \& X 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。( j1 Z# S5 s. w' V& X0 z W. ^8 h9 {
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。! Y* q2 V4 D9 t
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。; _* q. p+ e0 `0 z4 L4 j
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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; X, T% ?- ]- \' v q, G/ I$ s 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，* g$ N$ w5 W- q2 E4 b' `
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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7 O3 _( K4 u- D$ e( C5 z “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间. C* n' v' q7 b5 h3 _$ o% l" q$ n
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”7 C) s s- s7 h# T K6 F4 x- i
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知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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' U: t' y9 g* Y8 c “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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3 f( ?) ~8 b+ V4 N积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”( p. X: m9 L5 H0 |+ U
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早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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9 C% \& Z, c$ d, j 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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$ x; h3 d5 x; i/ o1 m3 S 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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* G% [7 \- i7 n 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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( X* r; }# A! \ ]* U) c 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。0 _; {/ z1 U: l: J7 |+ ~
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+ D* u& j# u, ], G% i* v6 E. Z 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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* ^! C" m4 R+ O9 l市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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