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[lastpost] => 2808777 沉睡七年的比特币巨鲸苏醒，转移了 2043 个比特币（转） 1772012992 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。5 X. z) @* F' o
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。- O5 D1 K# x& W4 m( v7 j5 @# \; p1 H
尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
: X- W) Q/ g$ b& s' d: k! K$ a. r# u2 q% o- m7 Z/ m6 E: F
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
6 h6 O3 Q! f6 _( a
- Q# a% V& h6 W+ B |4 j随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
6 H3 S1 O; {( I4 Q2 _: ?# i& Y2 L9 o* i
牛un云蒙上阴影4 r3 D) {' W% c) A) H/ y" v
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。4 O1 Y) s6 w/ V& G% I% T
& j4 e/ S' U" D* g* o即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
& l0 }5 O" f6 a s8 H+ G3 @) N; i* D* b# a, c6 q- o' S
这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。3 Q3 J% _5 K5 `: Q) m
7 |0 \) |6 L8 f6 h
尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。* C, f) y0 r. R7 l9 `
! g7 u+ i/ v a; c, F2 B1 G
BTC背后的机构引擎# w' N3 }5 D* M+ P7 u9 _+ P8 U a
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。- t4 r! P- V2 r8 I. Q- F- D+ L( g
* \# Z) J6 k( a' F8 N/ M3 y$ T5 l
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。7 c, i( Q( x8 m" Q2 Q. P8 J
6 ?; O+ G6 ]% v; |5 x% U) Z与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
- ^2 k4 b0 {! W1 o7 H# ?' H; G4 r2 k6 D \( p8 z: |; V% Z1 V
机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。
$ R ]3 G$ A9 h+ v7 ^2 {$ E" G. B5 L' B. ]; k# T8 G2 r! g
怎么了？7 j; d; e/ V; \) L0 r. U( u1 Y1 w
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。% N2 a" f6 I. v% Z: f7 d
4 c7 k3 c; @: a* c2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。
( [1 A' W4 A# F9 L7 r/ ^4 s7 k' { E" X$ e9 t E7 w
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
6 J3 y9 o$ N: T& }$ L1 Q; E a
3 D. ?; m& p' c% s7 @ z( H) c- U尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
% {- e, g0 t$ H& T8 H5 F! z* a" t- a
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