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[lastpost] => 2808777 沉睡七年的比特币巨鲸苏醒，转移了 2043 个比特币（转） 1771927419 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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+ G* y4 b. H* y 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。! q3 _% ^4 V* q
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比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续9 _& T! D8 d4 L) _- c* T' B
. u# u n' ^. X( e Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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7 ]! ~4 u, ^7 [; g 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。! B$ C5 l9 i" w2 g, w `, i2 Y
8 V1 N: G6 b2 A 市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。4 I3 H! v/ C4 P! v' I. M9 S
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6 Q: h4 V4 E" w- s& k! X3 s 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，3 z2 P" {( ^. l0 F2 u2 g. P0 }
, J: h6 z8 k9 a. d4 @( V5 {$ S价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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- H# v; o/ B0 d1 y# _# k; G “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”% Z- Q0 w, }- f
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' u0 L- x6 c# g6 L# m! k 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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& m: Y8 q: m. H v9 A4 e! Q “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在- ~- a0 J! D. g! c% `2 ]* W: V
! }$ v, b" v# E3 Z) T! v) p积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”
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9 p$ \3 @3 D7 k n: e& ?1 i 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。+ ]- R8 g& ~! b) k% u2 C0 N
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比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势: c9 R* Y9 x1 h1 P% t Y
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。! c3 [, d) w- c8 W4 h
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。6 ~( P' T- s5 P/ D' u( }
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”; _7 s2 U3 U$ J0 y2 c+ t8 V. Q5 v" a! x
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