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德州扑克前40手起手牌的一些统计数字
7 t L' u" c/ h8 t+ J5 C起手牌 | 赢的概率 | 平均收益 | 期望值 | 获牌机率 | Cards | Probability of Win | Average Win | Expected Value | Probability | Pair of A’s | 31.36% | 9.91 | 2.1071 | 0.45% | Pair of K’s | 26.43% | 9.87 | 1.6079 | 0.45% | Pair of Q’s | 22.66% | 9.81 | 1.2224 | 0.45% | A/K suited | 21.73% | 9.52 | 1.0688 | 0.30% | Pair of J’s | 19.84% | 9.74 | 0.9318 | 0.45% | A/Q suited | 20.44% | 9.41 | 0.9239 | 0.30% | K/Q suited | 19.80% | 9.41 | 0.8639 | 0.30% | A/J suited | 19.51% | 9.31 | 0.8159 | 0.30% | K/J suited | 18.94% | 9.31 | 0.7636 | 0.30% | A/T suited | 18.87% | 9.2 | 0.7353 | 0.30% | Q/J suited | 18.55% | 9.28 | 0.7217 | 0.30% | A/K unsuited | 18.29% | 9.41 | 0.7209 | 0.90% | Pair of T’s | 17.76% | 9.65 | 0.7145 | 0.45% | K/T suited | 18.34% | 9.21 | 0.689 | 0.30% | Q/T suited | 18.04% | 9.19 | 0.6577 | 0.30% | J/T suited | 18.07% | 9.16 | 0.6552 | 0.30% | Pair of 9’s | 16.05% | 9.69 | 0.5559 | 0.45% | A/Q unsuited | 16.78% | 9.26 | 0.5539 | 0.90% | A/9 suited | 16.87% | 9.12 | 0.5377 | 0.30% | K/Q unsuited | 16.30% | 9.26 | 0.5098 | 0.90% | K/9 suited | 16.22% | 9.16 | 0.4854 | 0.30% | T/9 suited | 16.33% | 9.09 | 0.485 | 0.30% | A/8 suited | 16.34% | 9.03 | 0.4756 | 0.30% | J/9 suited | 15.96% | 9.12 | 0.4561 | 0.30% | Q/9 suited | 15.89% | 9.14 | 0.4527 | 0.30% | Pair of 8’s | 14.96% | 9.67 | 0.4471 | 0.45% | A/5 suited | 16.23% | 8.9 | 0.4447 | 0.30% | A/J unsuited | 15.70% | 9.1 | 0.4291 | 0.90% | A/7 suited | 15.93% | 8.96 | 0.4272 | 0.30% | A/4 suited | 15.88% | 8.94 | 0.4205 | 0.30% | A/3 suited | 15.51% | 9 | 0.3957 | 0.30% | K/J unsuited | 15.30% | 9.11 | 0.3944 | 0.90% | A/6 suited | 15.62% | 8.91 | 0.3916 | 0.30% | Q/J unsuited | 15.07% | 9.08 | 0.3687 | 0.90% | Pair of 7’s | 14.14% | 9.65 | 0.3647 | 0.45% | A/2 suited | 15.02% | 9.04 | 0.3579 | 0.30% | K/8 suited | 15.03% | 9.03 | 0.3568 | 0.30% | T/8 suited | 15.05% | 9 | 0.3556 | 0.30% | 9/8 suited | 14.69% | 9.11 | 0.3388 | 0.30% | A/T unsuited | 14.93% | 8.94 | 0.3353 | 0.90% | & V2 T) a( V+ g8 o
德州扑克游戏过程中的概率: }, V7 S! a5 T* q
玩德州扑克过程中,一副牌形成的可能性有多大,对你下一步采取什么样的行动至关重要。一副牌形成的可能性有多大可以用成牌概率来计算。形成同花或顺子的机会有多大,拿到一张大牌的可能性有多少,当你手中握有一对时,悬牌形成三张同号的百分比为几,这些概率学上的知识对于德州扑克一轮牌的输赢非常关键,这些概率的计算决定你下一步是下注,跟注,加注还是弃牌。- P) k$ L; g3 O( P( [! G, r: I
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下表列出了德州扑克游戏过程中经常用到的一些概率术语
8 t+ b7 i+ _1 F7 \- l4 x3 l* z1 s; E! ]+ Y. `; r* B4 K/ {! ?) W7 {
补牌总数
, s5 \2 y( J$ B" P& k4 W" G- vOuts
1 L) y) B. Y7 s" T未知牌中可以完成你一副特定牌型的牌数7 r& [1 ]4 G* g1 S1 E6 P
“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,在未知牌中我有9张补牌(9张红桃牌)完成我的红桃同花”# F L& n; x3 ~. Y9 {
/ w" o; E& e7 Q* Q5 {0 R' J4 L
成牌概率! u( c% Q0 b; G' Z3 ~/ q: M
Hand Odds
) \3 F* f1 f0 i4 }; v" O/ B形成一手特定牌型的概率
0 J1 `7 h* Q' v' }2 S“转牌翻开以后,我有四张红桃,我完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1”
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总注概率
6 [) a- _8 V+ j" Z! O. w V. SPot Odds: @" |! q" V/ n
你下一步所下赌注与桌面上总赌注的百分比 “桌面上总赌注已达$200,我只要下$10赌注就可以进入下一轮,如果我能完成我的顺子,赌注概率对我非常有利。' A0 B2 M H- k& R4 ^4 E) U5 @
9 D- U% a0 C* S) H1 o1 C. \7 Y' i4 I下注概率: `7 ^; @* p1 i6 [3 X
Bet Odds( R: c3 n: U( B$ k4 d
你下注以后,根据后面跟注玩家的人数而计算出的一种输赢概率7 j- g4 Z/ s" B' G
“我有五分之一的机会赢这手牌,我下注以后,有6个玩家会跟注,下注概率对我有利”
; y& U+ Y0 l0 l2 e
" R# X6 p/ Q8 ?5 {隐含概率5 H( T! L" t8 \! Q; K
Implied Odds
* F# h* g- ]8 w- l通过猜测其它玩家下一步所采取的行动而计算出的一种输赢概率
3 o( _1 X' q3 A ?" F“我猜测这些玩家在看到转牌与河牌之后都会跟注,因此隐含概率对我非常有利”& w% a# N7 P! B# |- }
" r; X6 c u3 S) }
+ u6 u1 Z" t7 y1 S# c, A下面举一个简单的例子,说明这些概率知识的重要性:) h& `# {* C3 d# r
转牌翻开以后,你有四张红桃,你完成红桃同花牌型概率为9比47,大约为5分之1,你相信同花会赢这轮牌,而这时的总赌注为$200,你只要再跟注$20就可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比200,即为十分之一,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$200,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你1次赢钱的总数远大于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要跟牌而不是弃牌。
, e. Z3 Z' _% J2 z2 |8 \3 p- T$ _" x* x% k* @+ a8 d+ A/ u
反过来,如果这时的总赌注为$60,而你要跟注$20才可以看到河牌,总注概率为20比60,即为3分之1,这就是说,如果出现5次这种情况,你赢1次输4次,你赢一次的钱为$60,而你输4次的钱总数为$80,你一次赢钱的总数小于你4次输钱的总数,因此这种情况下你一定要弃牌而不是跟牌。5 Q0 C$ n( T3 [; @+ S0 Y$ m2 s* r
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