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[虚拟币交流]
交易员：比特币92天的盘整正在酝酿一场大规模反弹（转）
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BTC 现已进入最长的盘整期，时间为 92 天，分析师认为，长期的稳定可能为该资产的“大幅上涨”奠定基础。 U% z1 e, C9 w
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“一般来说，盘整时间越长，之后的上涨空间就越大，”匿名加密货币交易员 Daan Crypto Trades 在 6 月 11 日的 X 帖子中写道。
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“在所有盘整中，当前的盘整时间最长，”Mags 在 6 月 9 日的帖子中告诉其 79,500 名 X 粉丝。3 L1 h# X5 n6 m* h5 z9 \
6 T6 J0 J, e' w. v3 g- F' l“一旦价格突破这一盘整区间，我们将见证一轮大规模的上行反弹，”他们补充道，并指出，在之前的周期中，盘整期较短，但仍创下历史新高。; @ }, M: O! W8 ~# _4 n: F. V8 a: Y9 m
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4 W$ Z2 e; {. z在 2020 年比特币减半后的上一个周期中，比特币在爆发之前有一个为期 21 天的盘整期，最终在 2021 年 11 月突破了 69,000 美元的历史高点。4 c. C6 y6 F+ O/ _) A$ M# ]/ s; d
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“我们仍处于一个较大的盘整区间内。深呼吸，”Roman 在 6 月 12 日的 X 帖子中写道。
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今年的比特币数据显示，自 3 月 13 日（即 92 天前）创下 73,679 美元的历史高点以来，BTC 一直处于盘整阶段。
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3 u8 R: j$ \) _; U$ N盘整期是指比特币交易量和波动性低于平常的时期。自达到历史高点以来，比特币一直在 26% 的窄幅区间内交易，5 月 2 日曾短暂跌至 58,253 美元的最低点。
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1 S: l* d6 P# V# y5 J根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据，比特币目前的交易价格为 67,413 美元。+ C) h- f" W# i/ M( ^% |
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加密货币分析师此前的预测表明，盘整期可能会延长到至少 9 月甚至 10 月。
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' |6 o+ K, H0 G4 P5 月 16 日，有报道称，Capriole Investments 创始人 Charles Edwards、股票和加密货币市场的季节性以及比特币链上数据表明，比特币的价格可能会盘整 4 到 5 个月。+ S6 T6 o: F/ {1 a& s$ o/ n; ^
) j, |: \' ^. a: P8 s' A( z! o; {Edwards 将 BTC 的价格走势比作黄金，黄金在过去 13 年中形成了“巨大的杯柄”形态，其中“杯状”形态持续了四年，他指出比特币似乎也呈现出相同的图表形态。
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