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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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9 Z" R5 o1 t8 W1 ^有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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为什么？* O5 S% X3 B) W) [$ q7 o0 e
7 t2 w& N, t; O! F# u4 _$ c5 Y1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。/ G d2 Z8 e' g0 q
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。5 T4 [+ w! R7 X7 h5 g3 w. P
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
1 A9 P0 b8 h- V 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4; {) i, G& f; J/ @( H; y5 ]
第一把输，你没有了。" @- @8 m5 m) }: R( X" O9 i0 `: [7 `& e
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。/ x! H& A8 `. m$ p
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。2 x b5 Z" ~0 \$ x2 c% Q/ f1 o
…………无限下去。, v5 F5 z7 i2 q. d, ^
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？/ {3 C# A8 X+ N j) K7 K
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。
; c9 ^ U3 P8 U% }7 c( I1 Q7 k! F2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
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$ Z2 G, J2 S% `4 W$ Z但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
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' }: v6 _" i. p& P人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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