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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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3 u, { g- C) z0 D3 Q; a有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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# I5 v7 Q5 n9 f: ^$ h这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。6 I/ Y" w C. o3 \' o" r
* n0 u7 S7 Y, L9 l为什么？
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3 _' X, [% c0 e5 r- @" R8 l1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。8 {5 S, _! A6 |" A1 |
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
. S' J+ u$ [' u" X 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
0 F& F" B1 }) |0 w& Q3 O3 O0 m7 k/ W 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4& s( ~0 f! ]4 }
第一把输，你没有了。' _- u2 b2 `, G( D& }6 o
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
6 z$ z4 M+ z$ `- c# c 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
, K! P0 Y6 {& l# {( J …………无限下去。
1 t" j0 @1 ?. i1 X* I* e清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……: h Q. |) f" q
; X8 S3 ]' p# F是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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8 j h: Z! a& s( E+ }. R! Z这就是总是输的原因。。2 l W% V" S# g8 v* o
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？; m/ P% m' P- B$ N7 O; W) ^
& x: w6 s! `: c) ~6 {; H. g: w( E% V; n1、我觉得可以打偏差。
& I% t& ^' f, r0 x2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。- F8 a+ p% @# q; [# R+ T) h
) y( q' {( j! Q7 U: s但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。! P& v4 Z6 ]4 h; s& V% |
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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