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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
( i& m# S3 z& ~2 c4 x行情补充、
3 ?4 u% J; I& n# Q* ~6 p在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 ! q6 E6 d- p. o( t
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 7 ]8 A) j; O' l7 I& D
关于疑问、一一回复。
, C3 H4 l, m" U& J今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ * n3 i1 {6 {# n' \1 E n( `) T; Y) N' F
; j) Y5 K4 t% c9 |( o8 d2 d首先就个人的主观来说、 + T! p7 F2 ~4 K, g
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 9 e$ t! f& P2 K- d* s
极度憧憬市场的未来！
9 m4 U9 f i. {0 F! z3 Z但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
8 \8 e; Z# e, O6 X* {& I- J/ ]最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、
# ^4 n* P8 `, {1 |3 J: |: S而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
; d, I: C# b: L: J# k会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 6 \+ b, `. G: p* }. l
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 4 m+ u* X8 Z8 I8 C9 U
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 0 m+ {6 R4 W- D+ d% V4 _2 x
（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
4 B, n$ i J6 @0 Z2 N为什么会跌、 ! Q6 _- t4 W/ k- G
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
* s; `0 ^% k; N% J2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 . a# R* \ O# n( X* y" z
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
4 y8 {2 e/ v g4 s( @: a- v8 Z1 h/ M- S综上造成的下跌、
- a8 D; n+ O' ?) f这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
$ w v/ q8 W. C% W4 x也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 8 ]$ P; V* J6 C8 {7 ^( X
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 . K, T8 w7 b9 S# A# a- D: c
来决定行情是否好转。 3 q7 m6 D, a6 m. R
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 3 j |: n; s7 |: P+ X! j! y
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0.
$ @* U z# x( K$ O' y短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
7 i, |# k5 W6 V周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 - e) c/ _& V y+ X4 r5 [/ A+ U
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、 0 v& y$ \ P2 U3 K6 Z
看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
# a9 v+ h4 W& ?' A- v( t3 J& V日内大饼反弹、 ' _: d8 \7 ~: ^# y2 }
26150高空
8 j3 F' D4 D' T- }* P3 ]26350补仓 " U& a# i z6 s6 b$ r
26550防守
0 E# n; m! T6 b3 s- L目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 / b8 ^1 K' R) {9 T
以太反弹 ) @5 j6 }: G# c- j! h. S
1380高空 - I8 l6 B2 U; z+ B1 P/ ^
1400补仓 . B' N0 C) ?0 ~. W
1420防守 , d% W) h" s9 }3 f, E; s
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
1 @2 u; \/ Z7 q0 c% ^& z附言、 - S$ ]1 y# l* A; Y6 Q7 x. x
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
4 e, m/ s" U! V( K: C- @是正常现象， 1 M; v6 e* F& `0 W/ l( `% r
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 3 t3 A' F8 ~+ m/ \
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 ( o f4 J* n% S: ^$ W, a' x
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 # ^: J4 K' K" Y& ^
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 3 G/ W j& E' D% h4 M6 p8 w
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 9 @( r2 k/ s, V# U) a6 W& K1 S1 j
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 ( Z+ }* J6 y) T2 H
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 , E$ k3 \% f0 h! U9 e: [
但现阶段，要承受的住。 - o, y/ f7 V/ q2 j' ~ b4 x8 [4 S
最后再强调、现货勿割。 , ]; q- S+ L9 d" g. i
25000的大饼 1300的以太、
- h: L7 N0 w' d; o7 c" T7 M个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
6 J* C- z; C8 ]% n) A稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
, G$ ^$ c) j) y( f2 I这个市场， ; y. W0 H7 w8 R T/ I
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 & I6 b. k' [0 S! h, T6 d
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 % |( C3 g! p* {3 F! d
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 ; q$ w4 Q2 g+ }
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
) a, D8 X( m' A( D t t来源：金色财经 |
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