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[lastpost] => 2768809 为治病筹的 3.2 万美元加密货币，被游戏更新盗走了！平台审核能信吗？ 1759030756 天策-菱玖
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币站上3万美元失败！分析师：失去关键支撑 黑暗时刻将临（转载）
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昨日(2)比特币一度在上午突破3万美元最高来到30,047美元，可惜后续动能不足，又快7 a# B' t' T6 y$ O6 ^
速下挫。今(3)日零点时一度跌穿2.9万美元，目前持续力守能站稳2.9万美元关卡。% t$ Z; n( U1 z- c: y9 j I
比特币短期走势分析1 H: x( H9 [4 m1 t6 X
对于比特币又再次回到震荡区间，加密货币市场分析师Charles Edward在最近一份报告中指出，比特币下跌趋势+ n5 w9 s- U) K9 a: U6 [4 s1 l
很可能持续，因为比特币已经失去了关键支撑–50日移动平均线(MA)。. A: `& W4 k: `7 A
他认为如果比特币不能站回3万美元，那技术分析告诉我们BTC的下一个支撑位是28,000美元、24,000美元和低位0 [4 J& h$ n* F3 k" F2 R! y
20,000美元，每个支撑位都提供了相对好的入场机会。. F: I; G2 y+ m
不过Edward的报告虽然在短期内保持谨慎，长期仍维持看涨前景。: Y" Z4 _1 O' ]( r) E
比特币波动压力到达顶峰，爆发即将到来
, b+ \# y7 _) c另一方面，研究机构K33 Research发布也一份最新比特币研报指出，当前的低波动性正处于「火山爆发」前夕，
6 `0 o. q/ A7 B: T; t只是会往上、还是下尚未有定论。* O; @9 Q8 ~* m/ G, S) m, `
报告指出比特币当前5日波动率已低于传统证券、甚至是黄金：比特币的五日波动率目前低于纳斯达克指数、标普
+ L) D" f% H( F/ {500指数，甚至低于黄金。IVs也紧随其后，跌至历史最低点。
D/ c( t0 o) R8 e4 F/ d7 ^时间再拉长一些，比特币当前30天的波动率也已来到近5年的低点，这样的低波动率仅在2019年1月持续了8天。
; B( X- a. q9 W历史经验告诉我们，比特币的波动性减弱往往意味着即将出现较大幅度的波动，因此当前的低波动期或许很快将 F9 q! ?- O5 L0 g `. I
结束。K33高级分析师Vetle Lunde对此表示：我的短期观点是，市场的波动压力即将到达顶峰，爆发即将到来. a% z; @9 S t$ w& R
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