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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就
1 f: ?. [% m1 U. M [. ?# b0 j/ P
. [# X1 Q1 O* N7 E" ^' _突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照. w/ [& o* p+ u9 _; i
: @) c8 m; e7 W ~matrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴4 j7 C. \# h) h& E
% X8 L7 E. n! j* {, q
忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
1 S( ]+ b# z' Y
( w! M- A6 v. B+ z1 _0 h这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中7 N T2 m. ` t, K
+ m0 x2 O3 ]. X
期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
+ ?4 {3 U, l/ g8 i; R- NETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道3 q* Q) I6 F5 L- d$ N9 m: n. c) d
" k& X; j* J4 i G( z) ?2 B+ C消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二6 j2 C$ ]9 z$ ~1 f$ O
1 k* x) p/ _: d+ f _+ b! B7 D或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。
! n, n$ v8 Q: }. a) j
8 i, r, J5 Q% [) y* y0 X另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货$ h) a5 i9 A( d1 K; s# \1 \9 p! {
; \5 k7 D$ r& d1 b6 m" d5 ^6 |- EETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短5 l8 D5 W B6 n: Z6 S$ X4 w
( C3 k% B6 ]5 \
期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，
6 ]6 c F3 y+ H. C8 w2 }, v$ L A/ V9 V% Y T- }
负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
$ C/ m9 c- g9 y1 m# r% S1 D! P" |1 l! d+ J+ K! z. L
$ W; W1 A( X5 ^) d ?1 ~' K! q7 a |
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