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[lastpost] => 2758058 以太坊的涨势看起来比 2020 年更健康，但仍有一个担忧（转） 1755570892 小钱儿
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由于挖矿难度降低和挖矿硬件预订量减少，BTC 挖矿哈希率（即网络中的总计算能力）将会减慢。7 A$ e* {- y# m" W% X) c5 O+ V
- t& m* h7 f! V: q! {( D根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，1 月 27 日，挖矿难度降至 108.1 万亿，这是 2025 年的首次降低，而当前的哈希率约为每秒 832 艾哈希 (EH/s)。* l) v& I. F# |' n8 O: k
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TheMinerMag 编制的数据还显示，过去七天，挖矿难度回撤了 2.12%。根据其预购数据，美国公司对专用集成电路 (ASIC) 和其他挖矿硬件的需求在 2024 年第三季度和第四季度有所下降。( f0 E4 g- C2 R/ y2 D3 \. k
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难度降低应该会给竞争激烈的行业中的公司带来喘息之机，这些公司在 2024 年和 2025 年初面临着历史最高难度率，同时挖矿的区块补贴也减少了。
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矿业公司实现业务多元化但仍举步维艰
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2024 年，矿业公司将业务多元化，进军人工智能和高性能计算数据中心，以弥补减半后矿业利润的缺口。& e( T" d$ S- s% b& O8 x* w
6 M u8 P }! Y$ q8 `比特币矿工还采用了比特币企业财务策略，将更多的财务储备分配给 BTC，以获取长期价格升值。& J, N1 m0 |" n) d7 L9 E9 q0 U$ Y. e) j
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尽管多元化、对冲策略和 2024 年 11 月历史性的比特币价格反弹，但矿业股仍难以跟上 BTC 的涨势。# ^$ y1 m; F' S( f' y
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HashRate Index 的数据显示，25 家上市矿业公司中有 20 家在 2024 年底股价出现年初至今的下跌。
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DeepSeek R1 发布后，矿业股再次受到打击，DeepSeek R1 是一种在天朝构建的生成式人工智能模型，其性能与 OpenAI 产品相当，但训练成本仅为其一小部分。
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DeepSeek 颠覆了围绕人工智能开发的传统观念，包括训练和扩展人工智能的成本，据称 DeepSeek 团队使用有限的硬件完成了这项工作。! e% h# R/ F# n! c" N* t* O6 h
+ k# e$ d" h" }; Y( Z1 A这款训练成本仅为 600 万美元的天朝 AI 震惊了美国股市，因为一天之内，包括 Nvidia 在内的 AI 公司股东价值就蒸发了超过 1 万亿美元。
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投资者抛售 AI 股票，担心 DeepSeek 对价值数十亿美元的数据中心业务和高端 AI 处理器的收入产生影响。4 K; u% o6 z+ \+ }" b. B
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