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[lastpost] => 2763684 比特币的前世今生：一场延续三十年的数字货币革命 1757337618 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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% ~/ P6 |, T1 R- g- Z/ F7 l 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。
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尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。. P3 K' N, e! [" ^* G4 ]
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4 E# T M- d% t* I+ t8 z 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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7 x! `# u K; t 知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，; f6 k2 G+ r7 q8 t3 G
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。6 c9 \9 J, b9 @5 u) z
+ c/ [6 p& m, N! e% o3 k “从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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6 q4 L- K' [3 I( R" T: J框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”! E% X6 f% A! e2 g
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7 G7 B( m) j) @4 c; Q 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。
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: ?1 R# J9 U" f2 P, m4 y. z. D0 Y “$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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- c; R( q( Q, E( i积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”) V6 t; Q F1 G" j" T
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4 ^% d8 [9 R0 [3 ?- e* R 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。/ e# |2 j( f; u: h: W- R1 c1 Q
6 ?8 Z- }2 F+ e: K1 } 与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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Q( J9 R0 i3 ~ P4 p9 ?! g 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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" s) l3 r. X- Q5 f. P* n+ ~) \ 监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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- H1 l+ s9 y( z/ L: L% ? 该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，
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市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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