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谁将获2008年诺贝尔文学奖? 博彩公司拿出“候选名单”
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瑞典文学院宣布,将于10月9日(北京时间9日晚19时)公布2008年诺贝尔文学奖获奖者名单。每年到了这个大奖“揭盅”前夕,不仅瑞典文坛骚动,全球各种预测也纷纷出笼。6 z1 z" Y8 S8 C8 A, V
! D5 B! | S8 J. z: X& x 每年紧跟每年诺贝尔文学奖的文学观察家们,早早就列出了一份“候选名单”。这份名单就算让他们去年、前年甚至更早拿出来也没有任何问题,因为提名者大部分都享誉世界文坛,是近年来诺奖的热门竞争者——“名单”中完全看不到“新人”。英国博彩网站“立博”历年来被视为诺贝尔文学奖“猜谜游戏”的风向标。该网站已经连续三年猜中这一奖项的得主而名声大噪:2004年的奥地利女作家耶利内克、2005年的英国作家品特和2006年的土耳其作家帕慕克。虽然去年“立博”未押对英国的元老级女作家多丽丝莱辛,但他的“辉煌战绩”雄风仍健,并不妨碍它今年“再接再励”。昨日,当记者登陆“立博”网站,发现在“奖项”这一栏中已经出现了“诺贝尔文学奖”热门榜。在这张榜单上,意大利小说家、随笔作家克劳迪奥·奥兹(Amos Oz)、美国女作家乔伊斯奥兹(Joyce Carol Oates)和美国作家菲利浦·罗斯(Philip Roth)三人都以6:1的赔率紧追不舍。等待诺奖多年、已经等得不耐烦的捷克作家米兰·昆德拉以41:1的赔率排第28位。另一位天朝读者熟悉的日本作家村上春树今年以8:1的赔率列第7位,这个排名比去年靠前。
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据统计,在所有诺贝尔文学奖得主中,有72%来自欧洲国家,16%出自北美,而其他地区的得主仅占12%。最近几年,获奖者基本都是用英语写作,去年获奖者又是英国作家莱辛。人们会问,诺贝尔文学奖今年会离开欧洲吗?1 ]8 n& [) w9 H$ b! C
! P! S# x3 M7 q6 }8 i 诺贝尔文学奖作为知名度最大的文学奖项,确实“锁定”了当今世界上才华斐然的众多文学大家。但是,随着它的声誉日隆,文学界对诺奖的诟病和争议也一直没有停止过。比如有些专家认为它错失了20世纪一批顶级大师:如卡夫卡、乔伊斯、托尔斯泰、哈代、博尔赫斯、纳博科夫、易卜生、普鲁斯特、契诃夫、里尔克、高尔基、左拉、瓦雷里、劳伦斯、曼杰什坦姆和阿赫玛托娃等等。
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谁将戴上2008年诺贝尔文学奖的桂冠,应该仍将是热爱文学的读者们的期待。但在多元化衡量标准的21世纪,诺奖在推动文学进步的同时,它之出笼的抓人之处或许将更多地被悬念以及悬念的破解所带来的戏剧性所替代。- K l/ Q" x4 @" t
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