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[打法交流] 对百家乐玩家的忠告(转载)
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1#
闲只在0-5加牌,庄只在0-6加牌而且6只在闲加到6/7时加牌(庄0-2只要闲加牌一律加牌):
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+ W" k, c4 |+ O7 p1 k1、4+5=9,4+6=10=0,多4显然对闲有利。
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$ T9 V2 \0 E2 D+ c, @2、各牌多寡(根据算牌得知)对庄胜闲赢或和之影响可以用电脑模拟计算。例如用8副牌若少一支4,开庄/闲/和输率会自原始状况(1.05791%/1.23508%/14.35963%)变化。若少4庄赢机率增加即证实我们根据加牌规则的逻辑分析。
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电脑计算结果少某支牌庄闲胜负输率若如下:) E8 A- H" n; p5 R* n% L

; I7 h+ \7 S) t6 G7 J少一张 开闲机率自(1.23508%)6 D* n# k4 t+ N, j

2 u* A. v7 i# Y$ N+ W, |% ]升(降)%+ t5 L, [+ {/ B$ F6 m

5 t% G% j( O0 \5 r  `6 rA (0.0018)6 t& O; \$ ^5 {3 Z) h8 b2 @
$ R* i! ]: Z' B! d8 C- w: |$ C6 h
2 (0.0045)
; h. I4 X' _* C2 A- b# N9 T: w4 t
, h! w( d* S" U, i- v9 Q  @! e* S3 (0.0054)
: ]9 u9 e3 \; U: G# }( O- G" q# G, M
  ]0 [+ K' V2 s+ ?" N, e1 ~8 U4 (0.0120); k8 V! J+ {7 i

6 O: }; w) {% h8 I5 0.0084
/ q) D! N! h* o0 e
( l) q5 }# p9 u. q. A4 _8 @3 q6 0.0113
; M; Q9 O6 m& \
; |2 B( c6 R( C, L7 0.0082
6 [) g4 t$ r( M' [' H
1 b' e7 N! a( X; T- P' r" ]; E8 0.0053. n( h! b/ q* @! u8 o# Y9 N
' {2 x# b* m) K" Z, Z4 P
9 0.0025
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例如打8副牌,少一张4,下闲的输率自-1.23508%增加0.012%至-1.24708%……即少4对闲不利。) ?1 p5 [' t; `9 y3 T6 |
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由于每一组牌都可以用电脑计算出庄闲和机率,玩家只要等到剩牌分配对其有利时即可下注获利。玩家当然不太可能把电脑放在赌桌旁(在线博彩也有可能)每把算牌。21点专家把算牌简化成+1-1在脑中计算。百家乐算牌也可以简化……简化前我们先问一个基本问题:
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3 p7 ^- c2 Y2 C9 U0 I21点当退佣高时不算牌即可获利,若赌规好(可以早降)而切牌少(6副切1副不打)算出好牌的机会常高达百分之三十、四十。百家乐算牌获利多少?值不值得?
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假设用8副牌每一张牌的影响如下表:, T" p4 w! n' s+ |6 {
* }2 }. q$ Z+ j8 B, l
原始牌庄/收益率为-1.05791%,-1.23508%,-14.35963%
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% R/ z6 y0 l5 @0 t7 O* n9 W' }1 w当足够的牌打出足以克服庄闲和输率时,玩家有机会获利。问题是好牌机会甚少:; f) z: `& C5 B
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所谓穿透率指一盒牌切多少比例不打,例如用8副穿透率九成指切0.8副不打……在8副牌打7.2副的情形下好牌的机会只有万分之1.77(庄闲和合计)……一万把(3000小时?)只有两把……而21点1万把有2000把!4 q" G6 H% K4 i- b) E
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一般8副牌很少只留11张不打(98%穿透率)。但即使只留11张不打,好牌机会仍只有1.2%。4 J. N' M+ D( W, e
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如果用最精确的方法算牌也只“一年”找得到两次下注机会,百家乐算牌的用处显然太小。
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3 ]9 P  a( w0 j不过如果你(因为喜欢?)非玩百家乐不可或可以拿到很高的退佣,算牌仍是玩百家乐的最佳策略。7 O6 n$ i  Y& \9 B1 Z; K0 f

' M: I' p- ~# N) L. F& d! |' B- x当然你不可能用上述的最佳洗牌法。博智在“打败庄家”一书中提供简化的百家乐算牌法。由于不同点牌对庄闲和影响不同(如“4”对闲的影响是“3”的两倍),不同点数标数不同:
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" W/ s4 n' R7 f. A3 U- n0 ^& d" @, v点数 标数9 x$ c5 e/ ~) d0 C# A

$ c( o6 O6 j3 R7 \5 pA +1  r2 q$ Q5 U, R/ C0 }1 U( ~
  k% ?$ e2 H; N2 G4 L2 ?7 n
2 +1
% E: u/ W7 O/ V" w+ r
% |! I3 C  y$ E! w0 {$ S& {" A3 +2
8 m# s( _8 K4 P6 ^/ ]  b1 K
/ E! G- a: P* N, ]7 x/ Y! s* ?4 +3
# Q$ T# |  l9 w
# w& a5 Q; K! r* {  Y  t5 -2: h5 Z2 S2 y1 e" y$ `
0 b5 R  r4 H; P1 a
6 -25 @* u9 s# \, x

( b5 j5 W" _. m# b  r7 -26 Y  ?$ {; y7 V. _2 b5 V

& }. `3 \$ c! Q% F2 ]8 -16 w. a1 f, T2 z/ @0 d

$ `6 t: O( G, X- U9 0
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" X; `" p( _/ m9 Y- a- U2 \) A自0起算,看到A/2加1,“3”加2,“4”加3,5/6/7减2,“8”减1,9/0当没看到,算到正值表示小牌出得多,庄胜算提高。
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# u$ m6 @% D+ D* w" J7 V算出的数称为流水数。流水数除以剩下的副数称为真数。不同真数时庄闲和的收益率如下表(%):& f- k, [7 k' J9 W. H' P0 C
% q; ~. c7 ^: R
注意真数“0”时为标准牌下的收益率,下庄-1.058%,下闲-1.235%下和-14.36%。-16时下闲输率-0.586%,+16下庄输率-0.51%。如果你拿到1.2%洗码退佣(依下注额为0.6%),±16时可以下注获利。若你拿不到退佣,得等-27时下闲(+0.022%)或+29时下庄(+0.02%)……大约玩半年会碰到一次。
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( q/ E' F. T5 G: G& ^3、结论- n7 ?3 W  K* k' s' C

! Q8 ?) l6 E* u# ]0 c0 u百家乐的钞票不比21点美丽。鱼与熊掌不可得兼。想赢选好赢的,想玩选好玩的。扛了想赢的大旗玩好玩不好赢的赌戏,南辕北辙,不输也难。
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参与人数 1贡献值 +3 收起 理由
avatar 天策-萌二姐 + 3 百家乐的打法真的很多

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avatar
这个的话也是要了解一下了
avatar
3#
玩百家乐的朋友,认真看看了
avatar
你研究的非常透彻也是很科学
avatar
5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
这些忠告都是没有用的东西了啊
avatar
6#
不玩百家乐就是最好的忠告
avatar
7#
你还是先去告诉一下你自己的吧
avatar
8#
认真看看了
avatar
9#
我已经不玩百家乐好多年了
avatar
不知这个是不是真的管用的了
avatar
11#
感谢楼主的忠告,还是非常值得借鉴。
avatar
12#
忠告是可以去看看了解下啦 。
avatar
还是方法的,楼主的强项了
avatar
那百家乐这个东西真的非常难搞
avatar
这个还是需要能够多多的学习一下的。
avatar
16#
这个有点难度不好理解得了
avatar
17#
转载的也是很不错的东西的哦。
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