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[lastpost] => 2767465 等了快三年，FTX 又要发钱了！这次 16 亿美元要分给谁？ 1758940819 天策-思思
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[虚拟币交流]
FED主席警告：2023至少再升息2次！市场期待降息不切实际（转载）
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联准会主席Jerome Hayden Powell在美东时间周四早上亲赴参议院银行委员会听证会重申FED立场，Powell表
$ p& p7 x. ^0 @6 |5 z( y/ h5 m示，虽然在六月的FOMC会议没有升息，但这绝并不是停止升息的讯号，仅仅只是放缓升息脚步，不代表不会继
+ Q* n0 m3 F- i$ h续升息。
7 j* a9 O* V( O- iPowell认为，打击通膨刻非常坚定的原因是美国的工人阶级正在饱受催残，因此将通货膨胀率坚定地守在2%这个) G3 F7 F, U! a1 x
节点上是至关重要的，而且Powell也强调联准会成员都相信我们正在接近(这个目标)，但他承认，加息仍要再往上
% m N$ y7 w& Y" ]) Q1 @/ a走一些。5 y) B$ @# o5 Z2 f/ _; ]. \7 [; T
“一开始我们动作很快，后来就慢慢放慢了，这只是现况的延续…我们很好的预测，如果经济按预期运行将会发生
1 i8 J0 ?% g6 k# K* X r什么。”. ?- G5 ~% f8 S& m6 K, Z& ^
重申再升息两次、市场过度乐观' }$ u* ]# k5 v6 b
在最新的升息点阵图中，FOMC对于2023年的最终利率预期值中位数是5.6%，这意味着若每次升息25个基点
' s k+ e6 ?6 K; r(0.25)，当前的利率来说仍需要至少再升息两次以上(当前的利率区间为5%~5.25%)。
9 I5 l3 T1 J7 A# [ ePowell在听证会也回答了是否会在2024年以前出现降息，而他回应不可能很快发生，Powell认为市场过早关注于
$ U3 J) j: ~8 |3 _降息的可能，这太过乐观了：对于降息我们的判断，就是看我们是否对通货膨胀回归到2%的目标有信心，也需要
4 I3 @! p, r/ ]! i% |3 N% n! y" c观察经济发展如何，就目前的状况来说，通膨的持续程度超过许多联准会成员的预期。( c8 T E* t8 d3 ]2 P7 _# r
对银行爆雷回应) T/ n9 }" r- H
除了升息议题以外，对银行相关的监管也是许多参议员询问Powell的核心攻防话题，Powell回应近期要求提高资% j8 B- K; [( ]+ d
本适足率的要求，是针对资产规模超过1000亿美元的超大型银行，对一般小型银行、社区银行没有影响。而至于
9 `2 `. N: C4 L/ l: M0 j硅谷银行的破产监管责任，Powell也承认当前的美国金融与FED系统有执法上的问题，需进一步地的改革：对公* F7 W! N- {0 E( e5 `
务员来说，如果有渎职、违反规定的话，他们就会被解雇，但(硅谷银行)这次没有发生类似的事情，而旧金山联储
4 G4 i$ n' X+ n; @5 L. l) z. K9 Z当时也发现了问题，提醒了(硅谷银行)银行管理层，但后续的执法力度不够，这也是联准会体系的问题。
8 s, t+ w8 b/ [8 G* K% v2 Z9 \( P
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