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, _% t% F0 f, }2 V: o/ E& E美国证券交易委员会(SEC)在11日批准11档比特币现货ETF,加密货币产业迎来重要里程
$ d' O% E# b2 h; a; r; E. ^碑,市场开始乐观认为,以太坊现货ETF接下来也可望获批,目前共有7档申请等待SEC核准,包括贝莱德、富3 ?2 ^4 c6 p' h3 W3 O O) ?: `
达、灰度、VanEck、方舟/21Shares、Invesco/Galaxy及Hashdex。
3 b& V7 A1 U5 h5 K8 G" _- vSEC对VanEck、方舟/21Shares和Hashdex以太坊现货ETF的最终审批决定期限落在2024年5月,其他申请则在
8 a- p, K# H: y0 T ?" u8 t! s% B2024年的6~8月内。
" l2 o7 c; J! J1 A" |以太坊现货ETF今年底前推出?$ n, L3 Y( F$ V) P, W" m( ?) n. _
而据Santiment在X平台发布的民意调查显示,52.4%网友认为,美国将在今年底前推出以太坊现货ETF,9.8%的
( w( P4 N& e) I+ h, r7 z网友更乐观,预期本月就能获得批准,另有26.5%看好在明年或之后批准,11.3%的人认为永远不会发生。
6 G5 T, |8 Z) A! R. O, W' N然而,美国投资银行TD Cowen认为,SEC不会很快就批准以太坊现货ETF,TD Cowen Washington Research W3 ?9 U3 T3 M: d+ h! t% t. }
Group在本周稍早发布的一份报告中表示:预期SEC不会很快批准其他加密货币ETP。因为SEC希望从比特币ETP
5 M' t' T0 S. }中获取经验,然后再批准以太坊或其他加密货币ETP。等待批准的时间可能不会长达26个月,但很可能要到美国
$ A1 D3 m, o; U) F9 m0 J总统大选之后。
! q& j X* Q9 Q$ ?9 ]摩根大通分析师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou也看衰以太坊现货ETF在今年5月获批的可能性,他向The Block表示:
K1 e n, b. M# Z! c我们认为,如果SEC在5月批准现货以太坊ETF,就需要将以太坊归类为商品,而非证券,类似于比特币,但这还! \9 O* l/ |( Y
远未确定,我认为,SEC在5月前将以太坊归类为商品的可能性,不会超过50%。! T- g" n; }: R7 b! j
以太坊价格一度飙升& `7 G2 J9 f% y+ o
此前,由于市场乐观预期以太坊现货ETF可望获批,在比特币现货ETF通过后,以太坊价格一度狂飙,再加上贝莱
) o j @ b' N% A$ C德执行长LarryFink发布言论,称看到以太坊ETF的价值,以太坊在13日冲上2,717.32美元,创下自2022年5月9日" `0 @1 \* U1 e2 ~/ [: y
以来的新高,不过随后又急挫。
) R* V- i- s- h! M& ?2 b至截稿前,报2551美元,近24小时跌幅0.1%。
. j) e, o1 p3 x6 V0 c尽管TD Cowen、摩根大通皆不看好以太坊现货ETF很快获批,但彭博ETF分析师James Seyffart在年初表示, a, S" ?8 A7 e3 d
SEC在去年批准9档以太坊相关期货ETF时,已「含蓄地」默认以太坊是商品,他看好今年可望有首个以太坊现货
# c& e9 ?5 F8 M4 HETF上市。
8 ~" n- F! s0 Q6 Q2 H$ ~6 E
- G4 X5 _; B" d p: {' b" ]( ^! c. p" l9 [6 l1 x0 S
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