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两个月大涨40%!比特币,刷新历史新高!近9万人爆仓(转)
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在特朗普赢得美国总统选举之后,比特币还在拉涨。
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" @" n% l% _, w V) ?11月9日,比特币一度突破77000万美元,再度刷新历史新高。截至发稿,比特币涨幅收窄,报76429.2美元/枚。最近5个自然日,比特币累计上涨约13%;近两个月涨约40%,年内比特币更是上涨近80%。2 U4 X. X: R5 N6 {2 t1 r
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1 N ]% t5 I$ ?" j+ U4 M据The ETF Store总裁NateGeraci披露,贝莱德比特币交易所交易基金iShares Bitcoin ETF(IBIT)的资产规模已超过其黄金交易所交易基金iShares GoldETF(IAU)。目前,IBIT的总资产达到343亿美元,而IAU继续维持在330亿美元附近。6 ]$ ~& Q& m% g
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据了解,iShares Gold TF(IAU)是贝莱德在2005年1月推出的黄金交易所交易基金,而贝莱德的比特币ETF今年1月才上市。短短9个月时间里,这个另类资产ETF就吸引了270亿美元的资金流入。" W0 U0 t$ K: W: r' Q6 t; z
+ S0 `4 ^$ i6 T# h' ~比特币ETF的历史性突破,也与特朗普胜选后的加密货币暴涨有关。从本周二大选开始,比特币价格从6.7万美元直线拉升至最高7.7万美元的历史新高。
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' g" I! k3 x* n/ ^0 j- E$ }特朗普在竞选期间就曾多次表示,比特币和加密货币的创新精神和自主性符合美国的核心价值观。他强调,如果美国不率先拥抱加密货币,其他国家将会主导这个领域。因此,他计划以政策的形式支持加密货币,使美国在全球比特币和区块链技术上占据领导地位。
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近期多家机构和分析师表示看好比特币。渣打银行数字资产研究全球主管Geoff Kendrick日前表示,特朗普胜选后,比特币的价格将在今年年底达到125000美元,到2025年底将达到200000美元。这一预测与研究和7 t+ c' q m% M' O$ F/ h; |, a8 ?
! C/ a/ e+ s/ }0 |- h" ~% U经纪公司Bernstein分析师本月早些时候的估计相呼应。渣打银行在10月份也做出了类似的预测。
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3 \4 g$ J- | ~5 J: FKendrick认为,特朗普的许多支持加密货币的承诺,例如建立国家战略比特币储备,以及将美国重塑为“比特币超级大国”,这些将推动比特币上涨。% t1 q/ p& U+ X+ r
" s+ q$ R3 |/ a. m' L8 z/ nKendrick表示,从比特币期权交易来看,渣打银行发现很多投资者对80000美元左右的价格感兴趣,这表明这种加密货币将在“未来一两周内”达到这一水平。2 t, l- o9 ?" P' G4 \. j4 A( ^: ~4 c
+ b! x6 W/ I- O在监管方面,Kendrick表示,他预计特朗普将推翻拜登对SAB121的否决,这是一项有争议的美国证券交易委员会(SEC)会计指南,批评人士称该指南阻止了投资银行大规模提供加密货币托管服务。Kendrick认为特/ k9 x/ t3 r% m
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朗普明年1月20日上任后很快就会实现这个目标,并认为此举将推动更多机构采用加密货币。/ q: a( m) n" H3 C
$ V6 V5 o- I1 i5 G6 L数字资产券商Zodia Markets的联合创始人Nick Philpott表示:“我们对特朗普胜选事件的(比特币)目标区间是7.5万美元至8万美元,同时预期ETF基金和广泛的加密货币资金流入,将推升比特币在明年一季度早期达
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$ |2 _! }3 X: g7 ]2 [6 ^4 b( d! Z6 x到10万美元,当然也有可能更早一些。在期权方面,有大量的看涨期权行权价处于8万至10万美元之间,这应该会进一步增加动能。”3 T; h. x# G. |6 Q; W" [
5 ?& u# ~8 Z' Z0 |4 ^! u8 F0 \Bitwise首席投资官表示:“我们正在进入加密货币的黄金时代,我们将看到未来几年的强劲牛市。”
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' b2 V$ V# o! O3 vCoinbase首席执行官布莱恩·阿姆斯特朗(Brian Armstrong)在美国11月5日选举后表示:“加密货币从政策角度来看将会长存。”
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! E0 i8 Z+ _4 r$ _' X/ `值得一提的是,区块链数据公司Arkham在X平台宣布,加密衍生品交易所ARKHAM PERPETUALS EXCHANGE已开放注册,交易拟1周后启动。Arkham表示,注册资格因司法管辖区而异。居住在某些司法管辖区(包. I7 N# p5 O1 e: Y' V
% i5 l7 M" M) l$ J D括美国)的用户将被排除在访问之外。
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此外,美国市场首只比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)可能很快获得批准的消息也引发了市场的兴奋情绪。# T8 g- P; o' R' W9 m( L, j
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