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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF流量及其最新脱钩——是时候小心了吗？（转）
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比特币现货ETF似乎正在失去其在整个市场的影响力
. {( i, D! F2 o1 J* q& n+ w比特币可能在本周下半年出现短期下跌, Z6 b& P5 }: q$ |! z
周三，比特币在注意到自1月8日以来持续的资金外流后，首次录得正的现货ETF流量。然而，最新的ETF流量也揭示了一些关于其影响的其他有趣发现。: Q# R" @, O# c, R
0 I% t, b+ v# i6 u6 G1 L$ Y5 A比特币的价格走势在很大程度上，这与现货ETF的流动是同步的。然而，最近情况并非如此。例如，BTC从本周早些时候的最低点上涨了12.81%，周三触及当地高点100175美元。与此同时，比特币现货ETF在周三之前的一周内只出现了负流量。! Y8 P- _( T- ^
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简而言之，尽管现货ETF资金外流，比特币本周仍成功实现了反弹。这突显了一种脱钩，这种脱钩也可能在本周剩余时间内持续。/ M0 B* K4 H5 ]6 ^
6 \5 B# R& |2 f& Q4 d2 [然而，1月15日，比特币现货ETF流量记录了价值7.551亿美元的流入。这是本月迄今为止记录的第三高日流量。
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值得指出的是，尽管有这些发现，但在过去的24小时里，BTC确实略有下跌，图表上的跌幅略高于1.5%。
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) d' q4 m4 k1 J6 D1 s; p" x比特币在活动疲软的情况下保持对短期楔形模式的关注
1 ^% o4 t' r" J6 a5 _6 b% s0 u在撰写本文时，比特币的交易价格为99236美元。此外，图表上出现更多下行似乎是一种真正的可能性。' c. t! |+ i/ x! Z* B
. C- A$ Y8 A7 M; M6 G% ~' t# U潜在下行的原因是比特币的最新价格上涨重新测试了下行阻力线。它还显示出过去24小时的一些抛售压力，这表明阻力位仍然强劲。 ^; h1 A2 Z$ ^
* I$ C! U" k) l3 ]此外，链上数据显示，BTC在现货市场一直出现资金外流。事实上，仅在过去24小时内，加密货币就有1.5601亿美元的现货流出。$ n7 S2 A* F$ N6 [
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现货资金外流的激增表明，投资者仍专注于短期获利回吐。这可能会提供对当前需求状况的见解——这表明短期情绪并不乐观。+ u1 b; u4 M% `# ]- W$ {5 ~
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鲸鱼活动也与短期情绪一致。例如，最新的大持有者流量数据显示，周三有1420个BTC流入，而同期有494个BTC流出。鲸鱼的需求更高，因此影响了看涨表现。
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虽然鲸鱼的需求明显高于外流，但也值得注意的是，整体需求疲软。尤其是与12月的需求激增相比。1 F. {& S: m7 L( r4 u/ e4 \( W5 {
& x4 W' D3 w: N鲸鱼的低参与率充分说明了市场的信心水平。这可能表明比特币仍然局限于短期走势，在这种情况下，价格可能会从阻力位回落。然而，投资者应该注意可能影响市场的重大发展。
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