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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
3 P" M8 x: x( W1 B: y8 u4 [1 vStablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
( w9 @, a2 W. J% g似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。8 N5 x( O. m" w$ E" S1 H
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。5 }& W' y4 u' ^3 S; Q
* B7 n' J4 p( D* w7 D在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。$ \9 R7 _% F9 f6 u, ?; B
* k$ S- ?' N& T9 f8 y* L5 k红色海洋中的四个幸存者
% q! r& }. @, N7 f7 C根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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/ r$ q) G; Q7 i5 N8 n1 ~: a简而言之,表现不佳。8 y. u+ j, D: [' ^& n
E1 {# z* a7 r! C- [# y# I7 [大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。" H; p! d* H5 b& p
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。
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2 o% {9 ^4 H9 b: ~2 ~' |$ l自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
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$ |7 e% s4 _! K7 e; tAltcoin信誉的消失法案 ]7 H7 b/ K0 m4 Z
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。( g9 ?; d7 Z! m. y/ ] r _4 f
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交易的势头最近也消失了。5 B5 X+ e" m" I3 S8 f
* F/ c9 Q' N; G: \12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。
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3 t8 w' ~/ g/ l2 j这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。7 |- S0 w4 y# `1 b& u0 N
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。
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) X$ g/ T% p: C7 k7 `当高峰转向警告时) u# y7 i7 `; t( r, z5 ^* c$ R
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。9 m) o$ r* f. h# X6 w
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比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。' L/ M, {: D; C4 |( b) b) r
; i& C& \! G" Z每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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比特币还是胸围?0 L) @) o7 s1 d7 `2 V+ \- R
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。& L7 F4 m7 C9 M8 A5 W
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就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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