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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普打算解锁4000万代币：投资者的下一步是什么？（转）
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特朗普令牌即将到来的4000万代币解锁可能会触发脆弱的市场情绪中的抛售
1 d! n1 k1 F2 v" g9 s% P自推出以来，价格下降了89％，4月18日之前的前景不确定
" J# G$ V1 U: g0 t/ V: e3 B在Memecoin历史上，倒计时已经开始了最高的代币解锁之一。 4月18日，特朗普官方[特朗普]令牌将发布4000万个令牌流通，目前价值约3.3亿美元。
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. V i; f- t, n总供应量的20％，主要分配给内部人士。对于自推出以来一直在流血的图表，这一事件可能是重置叙事或加深下降的火花。# O& K1 t" j0 h9 U2 L
9 U. k/ d8 H- m' ?2 Y6 S& f4 M内幕分配引起了重量解锁的危险信号" R) I7 h( I9 O9 ]; j5 B1 e' D
目前只有20％的特朗普总供应量流传，即将到来的4000万个令牌的解锁占该浮点数的20％，这是一方面。
! z% a: [4 t. P3 r0 t! e; S5 Z7 u% h: h. ]$ O# J* H
这项耗资3.32亿美元的Unlock计划于4月18日，有投资者处于边缘状态，尤其是因为新发布的令牌分配了内部分配。5 G1 H. t H/ b# S/ a$ a) z
' H5 r9 M. @ i. L# w2 g从历史上看这样的解锁通常导致销售压力增加。特朗普已经大大低于其顶峰，市场情绪仍然脆弱。
& X) I+ Z* \9 v4 R5 t" Y W g; s; H& {% @+ k
每日发行49.3万代币，相当于近410万美元的潜在卖方压力，加剧了人们的关注。如果置信度进一步削弱，则这种解锁可能是更严重衰退的催化剂。
) W% ?+ B( _3 b6 b8 N8 c2 j7 \* z/ o1 |; ~" G
特朗普价格前景 [% r% O8 K0 e0 y( ]/ V! }9 ^5 a: {) c: M
特朗普的代币价格一直处于延长趋势，在短暂反弹后发稿时徘徊在8.43美元左右。
* P7 v6 I, T' Y& ]% x p! V5 p4 G( ^7 H+ y, A
这标志着自推出以来的89％下降了89％。 RSI在38.90时仍然弱，信号持续看跌势头和缺乏强大的购买压力。3 s' o% _( |% u+ B) U8 L+ U/ `
) A6 T( F; f: M- p/ V1 T同时，MACD刚刚进入积极的领域，但信号仍然微弱且令人信服。尽管较小的提升，但价格行动仍在近期低点附近，表明市场犹豫。: Y# Z" ]& C. Z0 X1 r$ {% r
% g2 ^/ p0 J3 {! e6 M交易量也显得很薄，表明公牛缺乏信念。如果没有明显的突破或情感转变，任何集会都可能是短暂的，尤其是在大型解锁事件迫在眉睫的情况下。. @+ M. f: Y* n# x
! v. a9 l: o. ]1 N5 J过去解锁了一个警示性的故事4 t% ]2 t) a: G- b \
与内幕分配相关的代币解锁以导致价格下跌而闻名，尤其是在市场情绪疲软时期。
7 P3 i5 x7 U4 q1 y6 m+ N, W" N+ y
从历史上看，大规模的发行版，例如来自Aptos和intinum的发行版，已经充满了供应过多的市场。这种过度供应经常压倒性的要求，导致价格下降。4 k: u+ n- K0 e$ ]0 G# Q( q( O
& W% ^9 v. o* R G* j
在流动性有限且炒作周期高度挥发性的Memecoin市场中，影响通常更为明显。特朗普遵循这些趋势，使无关后的抛售可能。; S* B4 N+ V1 x, Q, K
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