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[lastpost] => 2770519 比特币 2026 年的价格催化剂：宏观顺风和机构支持将推动下一轮牛市（转） 1759343352 jackcool1011
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最近一周，虚拟货币冲高后出现大跳水，从73660美元/枚，接连跌破73000美 元、72000美元、71000美元三道整数关口，最低跌穿70000下探至67446美元/枚。最新报68998美元/枚。; y0 t' f0 x: k& `
. W# [$ o7 p" E# G1 B3 J9 C1 y 美国大选临近，随着不确定性加剧，美股市场全线收跌，比特币也延续跌势。
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4 P/ t' ]( N3 {- K3 w9 V, ~+ @- a: b 美国三大股指全线收跌，道指跌0.61%，标普500指数跌0.28%，纳指跌0.33%。英特尔跌约3%，陶氏跌超2%，领跌道指。
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特斯拉跌超2%，谷歌跌逾1%。值得注意的是特朗普媒体科技集团大涨12.37%，逆转之前逾5%的跌幅。
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! G4 |% p2 W/ R 消息面上，距离美国大选正式投票不足24个小时，焦灼的选情让投资者情绪变得紧张起来。1 [' a0 V% ^" I3 \ p' ~, `
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衡量市场波动性的芝加哥期权交易所恐慌指数VIX周一盘中逼近23关口，创下今年8月非农爆冷利空以来的新高。( P0 X9 z2 r0 _" _9 x& Y
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中概股多数上涨，纳斯达克天朝金龙指数涨1.1%，热门中概股方面，百胜天朝涨超7%，文远知行涨逾7%，亚玛芬体育涨超5%，小鹏汽车涨逾4%，好未来涨超4%。
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此外，比特币继续延续跌势，Coinglass网站数据显示，比特币跌超1.3%，已经跌破68000美元重要关口，虚拟货币方面，过去24小时内，有8.4万人出现爆仓。, N9 ~4 D: `: B5 J# h# u/ ]
( p t0 w: k" m比特币这波猛涨和美国大选的选情走势密切相关。
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- I [/ n+ h' O5 L8 T 特朗普在竞选期间曾宣称，如果他能重返白宫，将把比特币列为美国的战略储备资产，还要让美国成为“全球加密货币之都”。哈里斯也选择了不同于拜登的路线，誓言会支持加密货币。
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据天朝基金报报道，鉴于特朗普对加密行业的热情高涨，在竞选期间，加密行业花费了大量资金来宣传其纲领，比特币也被称为“特朗普交易”。随着特朗普在预测市场上处于领先地位，比特
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币也随之“水涨船高”。' e& u4 ]* M3 W& f# w
* O. U# I1 k& G% U$ j 彭博社指出，特朗普在竞选期间拥抱了数字资产行业，提升了加密货币的情绪，但问题是，他更广泛的优先事项的影响是否会缓和这种乐观情绪。 据央视新闻，根据美国佛罗里达大学
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选举实验室的数据显示，截至当地时间11月3日下午，全美已有超过7646万名选民就2024年总统大选进行了提前投票，其中北卡罗来纳州提前投票率创历史新高，超过420万张选票在现场投
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- d4 E2 r/ r X0 t* f" O/ a1 Z票站投出。
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% [3 r! a x. ^1 e6 U( y8 w 根据民意调查，哈里斯目前以49%对48%的支持率领先特朗普，但在大选日前剩下几天的时间内，支持率仍有变化的空间，因为有大约10%的潜在选民和16%的登记选民表示他们仍在权衡选择。. T3 u% Q% O2 G4 f( m# i8 |' B/ f
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