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[虚拟币交流]
比特币目标价位 23 万美元，Solana 或将飙升至 4,390 美元！（转）
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如果价格能够突破 200 美元，杯柄形态预示 Solana 将上涨 20 倍
9 W) U& _7 M. u- l, c4 C# \3 v9 NToken 近几个月来凸显了看跌势头，可能尚未准备好走高9 x: Y7 ] O$ V/ ?
比特币[BTC]在撰写本文时，索拉纳[SOL]在较高时间范围的价格图表上。1 |. g* k$ r7 _+ w2 E
$ Y# Q: U/ W* D5 E6 U1 @/ }9 @在一个在 X 上发帖，技术分析师商人缓步动物观察到比特币和 Solana 在月线图上都形成了杯柄形态。事实上，前者几个月前就已经突破了，而 Solana 一直在耐心等待时机。4 x% R1 @. Z q" X- o- m' b
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利用杯柄形态的深度，突破目标可以是预测分析师指出，比特币一旦突破，可能达到 23 万美元，而 Solana 一旦突破，目标价位将达到 4,390 美元。它何时才能实现这一目标？Solana 现货 ETF 于 7 月 2 日上线。该 ETF 由 REX-Osprey 提供，其目标是1140万美元7 月 3 日流入。
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5 b# g1 L% p' P' W* Z5 k, k8 H0 W- P这可能会刺激 Solana 突破 200 美元大关，也就是杯柄形态突破的开始。
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Solana 的炒作季节尚未到来！6 r, I9 R- d/ o
通过检查活跃地址数量，AMBCrypto 发现，从 2024 年 10 月开始，链上活动出现了大幅飙升，并持续到 12 月。这与 11 月从 146 美元大幅上涨至 264 美元的情况相吻合。在此期间，Solana 模因币的表现也非常出色。: n8 \5 z6 U! m1 w s
! t$ z" j6 |2 {. S3 ?虽然它就像一个赢家寥寥的赌场，但它仍然是一个人潮涌动的赌场。或者说，它就像一场淘金热，交易员们争相寻找并利用最新的趋势获利。无论如何，现在的活跃地址数量已经比六个月前的水平有所下降。
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2024 年 3 月和 4 月，持有超过 10,000 SOL 的大额持有者数量迅速增加，当时的价格为 140 美元。
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) Q( n O8 L, [在 2025 年的大部分时间里，这一数字一直稳定在 5.1k 左右。大股东数量的再次[激增]可能是大型投资者信心的表现。, S0 g. L/ U i1 ?
) i2 f3 X7 d! D* [, A1 G' G# t周线图反映出看跌结构。2024年12月创下的175美元的较高低点在2月份被突破，并在5月份的反弹中再次被测试为阻力位。RSI指标也反映出这种趋势，自2月份以来一直保持在50的中性水平以下。这表明，目前的势头主要为看跌。7 }, A7 G$ A% ?% V# k c
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过去两个月，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 徘徊在 50 左右，表明看跌势头已减弱。然而，多头力量不足以推高价格。这反映在自 5 月以来每周交易量的下降上——这是市场进入回调阶段的另一个迹象。
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如果 SOL 能够回升至 190 美元以上，那么每周结构将再次转向看涨。
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