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[lastpost] => 2749907 链上指标：比特币能否突破13万美元大关？（转） 1752750406 hong29
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8 l) H2 b" a" p 7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，
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( ^8 w) U+ r+ I" C* K稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的
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必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。
+ L) [$ r5 b3 J$ \1 S) {, @
4 Q9 t `4 \+ [; ~ 他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一
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是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留/ w6 j6 V& \' E$ U
- N W* I* Y5 o. Z7 E8 a: |发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。
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杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、/ c! e" B' Y' X% Z$ K
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包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，" o0 T# C- H W# n8 e
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也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。2 s9 N0 U$ P y
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关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则
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% i+ [. A: [" c1 _; S. a可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”( V. h1 f% T9 M! F
; g. c- S, Y! h( _* H 他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下, N" f# p/ T: v5 q' n% g Y
$ C$ G" M% d4 F一个代币化的全球金融体系。
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在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定( ?. W/ @9 a- n7 \
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币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新
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% h3 ?! ]1 P7 ~" y$ u, G' c7 \$ X! X之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。) }* E: F9 r* P
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人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就
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是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。0 R5 D, l/ f6 R, N8 L6 B
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