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[虚拟币交流]
美财长“豪赌”加密行业,欲将稳定币发行商变为美债“大买家”(转)
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, U- t' s9 K+ ^6 |8 _; k 美国财政部长贝森特正押注加密行业将在未来几年成为美国国债的关键买家,眼下华盛顿正为海量的新增美国ZF债务寻求支撑需求。4 J1 M/ N t; l
( o( R: f; H0 I3 e" ^8 ?$ m- G; y 据熟悉相关讨论的人士称,贝森特已向华尔街发出信号,表示他预计稳定币将成为美国ZF债券的一个重要需求来源。) F2 L( R+ o0 J
* P3 d- f- w( ]; u9 c8 c7 c9 p 这些人士说,他已向包括Tether和Circle在内的主要稳定币发行商征求信息,而这些讨论也为财政部未来几个季度增加短期票据销售的计划提供了信息。
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在贝森特关注稳定币之际,许多投资者正对该国日益恶化的公共财政感到焦虑。独立分析师预计,未来十年华盛顿的债务与GDP之比将达到历史新高,而美国总统特朗普的“伟大美好”税收法案将加速借贷。
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财政部希望稳定币成为美国ZF债务需求关键来源的期望,也是白宫推动将加密货币带入美国金融核心的最新迹象。
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作为美国债券市场最大的交易商之一,摩根大通的全球利率策略主管Jay Barry说:“(贝森特部长和财政部)绝对认为稳定币将是美国国债新的、真正的需求来源,而这绝对是(贝森特)放心将发行权重偏向(短期债务)的原因。”
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* Y, c4 n2 M. K9 Z* `8 ?. n; V 贝森特的讨论,发生在国会7月份通过《天才法案》(Genius Act)前后,该法案为稳定币建立了一个监管框架。法案要求稳定币必须由包括短期国库券在内的少数几种超安全、流动性高的资产作为支持。0 d* e. e. g4 F
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财政部表示:“最近通过的《天才法案》是一项重大进展,我们正在密切关注,因为它将促进稳定币的创新并增加对短期国债的需求。”它补充说,“发行计划将继续参考包括来自投资者、一级交易商和财政部借款咨询委员会在内的各种意见”。' x! D! b' ?5 K
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稳定币是传统资产与数字资产之间的重要连接,通常力求稳定在以1美元的价格进行交易。发行商通过持有高质量、短期的债务投资组合来维持这种锚定。( b+ b9 `# I4 j* t* V) @# W
2 @9 T9 a% D) g' p# n2 R 根据堪萨斯城联储的研究,稳定币市场价值约2500亿美元,尽管与价值29万亿美元的美国国债市场相比微不足道,但贝森特此前曾告诉国会,他预计该市场在未来几年将增长到2万亿美元。4 I* M- j( [, p. T8 L) p3 c
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在贝森特这位前对冲基金经理试图利用他在华尔街的人脉来收集有关国债市场的情报之际,他的稳定币倡议也应运而生。2 a* E9 Z8 N$ y
$ T2 Q+ U+ [, N _2 ? 据四位接到过此类电话的投资者称,贝森特及其团队以直接且频繁地与银行、对冲基金和资产管理公司就市场状况进行接触而闻名。
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金融业与财政部之间的对话是司空见惯的,但自1月以来,这种外联的频率有所增加。据两位听取了相关情况简报的人士称,在这些通话中,财政部官员也比以往更多地表达了对美国国债需求的担忧。
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财政部表示,“定期和可预测的债务发行意味着财政部必须认识到结构性的市场发展,财政部将继续密切监控这些发展”。
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