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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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以威廉为标准,只统计 英超,西甲,意甲 ) f& |, `% X, f% F0 y5 D0 Q% L

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只跟踪一个联赛
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8 c6 _+ ?3 S6 X. ~全塞季  分别买 主胜,  平,   负赔
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三条线  ,三年统计结果  全部亏水钱,积少成多也不少啊 ,最后收益差别不大,. N  h: B! t6 R8 u
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偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。4 m- N9 w" ]0 B7 \

$ @) s$ r) ?  _) C" c方法:  全程跟踪一个联赛,一个塞季, 只买一边, 主胜 或负赔(平局出现相对概率要少)
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3 ?5 y4 }" {) N4 I% V- D: R7 {然后通过基本面或盘赔特征,排除一部分球赛, 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高, 只需要增高一点,9 U. s2 P' [; ~2 m& D) ~  j6 U4 ~
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就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱,  然后就是不断累积经验,多排除一些球赛,多赚一点水钱% Q6 b. n9 @* y' B& u
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当经验积累到一定程度, 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目* b8 @. Z6 \; L/ g1 @. F
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亚盘没有统计,想当然,  低水胜出概率高点,  让盘方胜出概率高点,只有两个方向容易判断,
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而且亚盘返还率要高一点, 选低水+让球方,一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪,开始肯定输水钱,: ?) h) X1 a6 [: t% d

5 G2 M  g9 f2 `, D8 e但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了,就可以把水钱赚回来。
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+ ^; X+ a1 Y, Y8 B3 y理论依据: 只买一边 ,一定不会让你亏多少,因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的,一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。
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# ]- d7 P" v! e  v- M' W0 u排除比选择要容易积累经验, 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ,比那些可能出现 要容易判断
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以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的,
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% s7 Q+ W. o8 u. u4 b# t2 d/ v! o" K但是每个赛季 5-10%, 是可以做到的,
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+ @. a# k# ~: j9 h, c' y这比买国债存银行合算。
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/ F2 w- |8 ], `! c! e2 w) n在DC赚大钱的人,都是用高风险去博高收益,风险大利润才高,
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! x) B; K8 w! z) V几次发现十几倍的负赔,就是不敢去,买了平,这就是人性。0 k+ {( ?* v) r- s. Y$ s4 ~

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; a' B5 B9 e/ b! q- r+ |- S" X* r常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。
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放弃一夜暴富,放弃神奇的方法, 放弃高的胜率,
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就是回避了大的亏损,& D" |! D; |. b- R& X5 ]; ~( w

1 J# _# f- j/ X3 Q0 R! h大亏,小亏,小赢,大赢,  DC就这四种结果,
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回避了大亏,用经验避免小亏,就只剩下 赢了。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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