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北京时间周四凌晨,本周全球市场最重磅的靴子终于落地了,美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)公布了最新的利率决议,本次会议如期加息75个基点,将基准利率上调至1.50%-1.75%区间,加息幅度为1994年以来最大。
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美联储表示“坚决承诺”将通胀率恢复到2%,通货膨胀仍然居高不下,反映出与大流行相关的供需失衡、能源价格上涨、更大的价格压力;重申认为持续加息是适当的。
3 y5 p& D8 U" j5 T$ {美联储FOMC经济预期显示,2022、2023、2024年底联邦基金利率预期中值分别为3.4%,3.8%,3.4%;2022、2023、2024年底PCE通胀预期中值分别为5.2%,2.6%,2.2%;更长期联邦基金利率预期中值为2.5%,3月预期为2.4%;2022、2023、2024年底GDP增速预期中值分别为1.7%,1.7%,1.9%。美联储预计在2024年开始降息。 ' Z* Q' }! i! G
美联储主席鲍威尔表示,坚定地致力于让通胀回落,有需要的工具来恢复价格稳定;数据显示,短期通胀居高不下,但中期内大幅下降,通胀预期仍然存在。并表示,必须降低通货膨胀来帮助就业人口,目前的情况很明显,劳动力市场极度紧张,通货膨胀太高;预计劳动力市场的供需状况将达到更好的平衡,并缓和工资增长。同时表示,FOMC正在迅速将利率上调至更正常的水平。 ! m; h/ d' D3 \9 [
美联储主席鲍威尔称不太可能进行一系列的超强加息,全球市场情绪明显舒缓,美股三大股指止跌反弹,近期持续饱受摧残的加密货币也出现止跌回稳迹象,今天早盘加密货币全线上扬,比特币守住了20000美元,同样以太坊守住了1000美元的整数关口。 0 G! K2 S6 w, y
, c; x5 A6 j. j* M8 S7 y5 j2 ?BTC:1小时级别,如上图所示,币价在底部形成了筑底区间,箱体上轨23000刀短期承压,箱体震荡下轨20000刀支撑明显,考虑到币价美股三大指数出现了止跌的迹象,可以预计btc会在20000-23000的区间继续磨底,多空的争夺决定了接下来行情的突破方向。操作策略上,短线可以尝试波段操作,跌破20000点果断清仓,上破23000点可以顺势建仓或加仓。
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ETH:同样1小时级别看,基本与BTC的走势是相类似的,箱体震荡区间上轨1260附近,箱体震荡下轨1000刀位置,昨天下午6点开始在1000附近止跌开启了一小波反弹行情,持续上涨刀1260的箱体震荡上轨边沿压力位后,今天早上9点到现在出现了持续的回调走势,基本符合箱体操作预期。币价若继续走弱失守1000刀,可以果断考虑清仓或反手小仓位做空;若币价在成交量的配合下上破了1260的压力位,后市有望开启进一笔的反弹上涨行情。
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ANT:上图为阿拉贡项目的1小时走势图,这个项目也是DAO概念,昨天到今天行情出现了冲高回落的异动,从底部1.2刀的位置拉升至最高价2.6刀,成功实现日内币价翻倍行情,考虑到目前行情处于回调阶段,持币用户可以适当减仓,后市反弹行情可以继续关注DAO概念相关币种。 来源:金色财经 |
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