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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四8 E( Q0 U6 X& w# B% O9 p
0 L7 J9 |0 ]7 e% A
正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
9 ?' p! v3 e$ c, ~& K5 ]# h
4 Y# z- D% ?! H6 i+ [! m( T6 U比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公' [, I1 s) }4 t# Q! ]7 j1 k
: E9 p, I' f' J2 Q8 T% a# k
司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
* [6 y) t: _" r* S {在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比1 [/ I J7 H7 ^6 l% B; i( Z$ v- J
7 k- s7 K; V* h# n v* H! L9 d特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
, T- q1 n2 t. q& Q% p6 W, p0 X% {* ~% ^6 \
(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
/ S- `0 J7 a1 p n& e% q6 K1 Y" c
7 b3 {: t7 c1 s 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
7 b+ s* W. F5 z0 r# Y: r" V. f f9 m. D3 m9 O3 R2 f- x
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，4 |$ X* ~) O5 A; j& W6 X1 ~% u
% j4 K5 s' r6 X% J- s
并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
* L: b$ @+ r# W5 o% G1 i
- r7 @9 n) y0 r3 d$ p+ U; S“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
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- D6 ^0 I' _6 N v( L$ f0 Z7 B币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价 ?% P I8 a' i) B* N$ A/ K0 G
% g& q; [( d' S5 e @# b格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。- t2 f( g$ B% ]7 s: l9 V5 G
8 q" S) I A" c0 x8 F
在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大1 F- m4 J {, L( W7 O
& d6 B1 V8 c! {0 K1 b' l
力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，& w6 z: I0 t5 F
$ W0 m: o" W) r; P8 v) P2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。3 c, H7 r! b9 y6 N3 J8 o
0 ]3 N1 X5 V; ^6 i8 I( w0 b
自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到: b e3 c* W+ t; i e' R2 r/ T
9 [: T7 r& T3 f5 W7 O& j
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。; T" J; E& ^) l" K8 K% ?1 f3 {
9 q$ P1 f, J) F% C; I4 Q, ?
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
; p& v2 x. x) J7 F( `5 \6 V8 C; C3 {/ N: Z1 {- ~; C5 B+ i
降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该" u8 }0 m& _( s$ R$ [/ M# x
$ g8 d& n. e& n会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。% f Y( N' {4 A9 g! S
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