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[lastpost] => 2780946 为什么预测市场仍处于探索阶段（转） 1762965659 caoch
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加密货币从本周早些时候的大幅抛售中恢复上涨，比特币周五一举突破62000美元。5 X) Z3 A6 n. `7 A5 \7 c
3 \+ @' F+ I" s 数据显示，比特币涨逾12%，一度升至62000美元上方，远高于今年大部分时间的支撑水平55000美元。
3 I! F+ N/ W8 s& R* H7 Z" {+ R3 [( D, d( A
以太坊大涨超14%，逼近2700美元。周三，比特币和以太坊还一度引领加密货币市场和相关股票下跌。
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截至周四收盘，Coinbase(COIN.US)和MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)股价分别上涨7.50%和9.07%。两者在盘
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- @" W# ^. c: O后均继续上涨。
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: g( b5 z3 W8 @" {0 A9 { 随着日元套利交易平仓带动市场去杠杆化，且美国国债收益率因担心经济衰退而上扬，在周一的暴跌后，
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市场似乎正试图找到立足点。比特币一度跌破5万美元，此前一周交易价格接近7万美元。不过，上周晚些时候，
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9 ]; B) D! b, l3 c5 l7 `在7月就业报告弱于预期之后，市场担忧开始显现。) r. {0 I. x% Y5 o g2 J
! C( {' q" o' ]; O6 v Bitwise资产管理公司分析师Ryan Rasmussen表示：“未来一两个月，宏观经济将占据主导地位。从中东紧张
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' ?- D3 u% J o2 D! i5 W局势加剧到日元套利交易的崩溃，再到对美国经济衰退的担忧，每个人都在担心下一只靴子什么时候会落地。”
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8月一直被认为是加密货币交易波动较大的一个月。Rasmussen表示，在这些担忧消退之前，大多数机构投资2 u9 C @1 R6 @4 \
" Y& p2 D# n, D' n8 c! G者可能会优先考虑他们的股票投资组合，而不是他们分配给加密货币的1%至5%资产。
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“多种力量和反应正在导致加密货币市场出现横向反弹，”比特币IRA联合创始人兼首席运营官Chris Kline表示，
/ ~6 P2 l7 q, _' b% u3 K9 x6 S0 z* Y6 _2 H2 l( l5 w- x5 \! W
“加密货币继续感到萎靡不振，主要是因为投资者对美联储是否会降息以及这种调整是否只是昙花一现还是会引起更
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多担忧持观望态度。”* P& D* O4 o; i& p& O
. U: u2 b' B% K+ w 今年以来，比特币累计上涨了近44%。$ P+ j: K& V" z3 s
9 s( A* D0 u' O# P* U 比特币IRA联合创始人兼首席运营官克里斯·克莱恩（Chris Kline）表示：“多种力量和反应正在导致加密市场出- u0 Z, P1 Y# N
" w) ], A6 ]1 i8 t
现横向反弹。“加密市场继续感到不安，主要是因为投资者对美联储是否会降息持观望态度，以及最近的调整是暂时的，
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0 I5 N) s* U) _还是引起了更多的担忧。”
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