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[虚拟币交流]
比特币形成了一个局部底部:比特币能从这里走高吗?(转)
[复制链接]
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比特币[BTC]在以色列和伊朗之间的地缘ZZ紧张局势急剧下降后,表现出了韧性。截至发稿时,比特币的交易价格约为62000美元,显示出夺回63000美元水平的迹象。
! Z1 i3 I: h2 Y9 ` \) y
+ y# l; U" B7 C7 p3 t5 @4 C最近多头头寸的清算可能已经建立了一个局部底部,表明BTC可能会进一步上涨,这个底部是本月的低点。) n- b ~+ i+ F7 L: h! f; `
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在大幅下跌期间,长期合约通常会因清算而大幅下跌,从而减轻抛售压力。
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关键流动性水平保持稳定,高于新闻发布时的价格68900美元至69300美元,低于新闻发布时价格56800美元至57400美元。
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一个新的流动性集群也出现在66500美元至66800美元的区间,这表明价格可能很快就会瞄准这一区域。
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( U7 a# D; k0 I尽管比特币的价格在55K美元至75K美元之间波动了200多天,但比特币仍然处于稳固的地位。
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4 M* N; a( J8 T+ P5 H0 W# d它在周线图上交易高于100周移动平均线(100MA),在宏观层面保持强势。
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. n! r' Y# Z- C值得注意的是,BTC现在比最新的比特币减半时间晚了170天,历史模式显示,新的历史高点(ATH)往往在前一个周期的峰值后约1080天形成。$ x7 V( x6 T! ?# T
- k; X. f- y2 W; m这表明,如果历史证明是正确的,比特币可能会从目前的水平走高。( T1 |# u) v* @' B' P
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Coinbase高级指标0 q" \8 I+ T+ q' Y7 D
CryptoQuant上的Coinbase Premium工具加剧了这一看涨前景,该工具突显了BTC的短期增长。! ~0 t" J& @! {5 n' ~* G
' ^5 w: S- M% t' S$ i/ O3 i3 c. I当黄金十字架形成时,如之前的价格走势所示,比特币通常会经历短期上涨。这一指标进一步证明,BTC可能会从目前的本地底部上涨。4 _$ p. n9 A2 F3 Q% A7 T8 [2 `
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美国比特币现货ETF需求
9 [/ w' [. V5 O2 H+ B* D9 \0 p0 m美国现货ETF对比特币的需求也在上升。9月初,现货ETF是净卖家,但到本月底,他们已经购买了7000 BTC,这是自2021年7月以来的最高水平。
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2024年第一季度,现货ETF每天购买近9000 BTC,将价格推至新高。如果这种购买趋势继续下去,比特币的价格可能会在2024年最后一个季度进一步上涨。/ b& x* X8 \ x" @4 O
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鲸鱼保持稳定( V1 i3 q4 `0 I* _1 N
此外,大型比特币持有者,或“鲸鱼”,表现出历史上较低的获利回吐水平,表明对未来价格增长的信心。 M1 s" x0 f! d$ N( s5 E+ N+ c
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鲸鱼一直在不同的地址分发他们的BTC,现在只有1975个地址持有1000到10000个BTC。" J1 t# ?4 @: G: z1 F
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尽管最近出现了一些抛售,但与之前的周期相比,鲸鱼的利润微乎其微,这进一步支持了比特币价格将从这里上涨的观点,因为它们寻求最大化收益。
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