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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。
3 C; u; t. C- p0 z3 xAltcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。6 c0 D3 }: K, b! [7 t) M5 w
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。+ G& y9 d9 Q- t3 g- G
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。! \ \) j. _0 D4 q# u! h/ S/ Y7 C& }1 C
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。
: o. Q- S4 P& T. n3 G/ {alt/btc
+ m) J( X1 \% y, O/ {alt/usdt
: B- o' p# |- H8 ]7 g那么，发生了什么？
. L8 a5 i+ q4 m+ p! H1 o% ]1. 大户轮换资金: i4 V. G$ `3 k+ n+ q* ?3 r
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
; i, k+ S g4 g' g2 f* a3 X! Q, W这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。
( p$ ^% G6 q& _但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。
' }) ?4 y" F. q3 _9 w2. 市场的防御心理& e! Q& E( Y( L1 E8 b
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。. H. a' L, c; F' A5 h0 h
这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。' n% c9 Q2 _5 s/ S' L) S1 l% p
3. 需要关注的信号* M5 b# E) t" g% n! L! T
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。# t5 K9 z% a* c& b
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。9 }" o/ M% X# d
USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
: B; W8 m6 i1 @: M5 x. B9 v: j Z4. 对投资者的意义0 d& n5 o7 X3 q" h0 E5 l
在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。+ D, A3 V2 a" O* R" D+ m" m
如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
2 }8 s( z" f& p% E安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
' e8 c5 v. o9 s; e* k4 [: b结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。
% d4 M. e Y$ x8 {6 P s0 U#加密货币#4 Z7 {( _9 _6 |$ H9 d: A+ a1 P
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当前离线
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当前离线
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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当前离线
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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当前离线
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