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[lastpost] => 948100 如何判断值得信任的菠菜公司 1706554009 damulong1256
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竞彩神马的大多数和运气都有关系(我想这不是像我这样的小伙伴们想要听到的)。lun盘、百家樂、老虎機这样的娱乐游戏真的是输输赢赢这样的循环反复,概率规则控制,有那么点规律可循。。。
当每个小伙伴都尽量用各种高深的理论和统计方法来预测体育比赛结果时,绝对实力一定有所提高,但是相对的,最好和最差的差距在缩小,实力差异缩小,那么运气的影响也在考虑范围之内了。。。
竞彩的本质上是彩民之间的零和游戏,菠菜公司只需要抽水即可。 几种思维方式,渣渣认为可以增加小伙伴们赢钱的可能性。 1. 在实力差较高的市场上竞彩 渣渣简单地说就是,对于大多数菠菜伙伴和菠菜公司来讲都相对陌生的市场,因为他们都不太容易获得足够的信息和新闻来进行处理并用于预测,这就是所谓的,陌生的环境,纯粹的运气比拼,看看谁人品好。。 2.相对思考,不是绝对思考 《信号和噪声》中作者谈扑克游戏中说:“哪怕你95%的决策都是对的,但如果满桌玩家的策略正确率都是99%,你仍会输个精光。”也就是说,你要打败那些与你一样一起博弈的玩家。 3.聚焦于过程,而非结果 竞彩中,你需要分析的是你的预测方式,而不是银行的余额,这对于没实力的玩家来说比较可观,用运气打破实力和利润之间的联系,有实力的玩家就可能赢钱,没实力的玩家相对来说,仍可能赢利。 这几点是换种思维方式,告诉在分析上不胜他人的小伙伴,赢money也是有谱的!!!(渣渣有时候也用这种思维,有不错的成效哟)还是要多学习!加油↖(^ω^)↗
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lu2002 发表于 2017-8-1 17:441 ?8 q+ f9 D4 A8 B
写的真是好啊,让我受益不少
" k1 G1 R, L6 P& d5 p0 s谢谢,一起加油{:4_95:} |
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风风火火 发表于 2017-8-1 17:57
0 ~( S; e0 j8 t! Y* I+ v- d我还是玩适合自己的领域
1 B! D* W8 N5 R! x5 X0 H% G对,自己适合的领域玩起来舒服,省心{:4_96:} |
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jackcool1011 发表于 2017-8-1 18:02- H4 ~3 p3 K4 E- r
我竞猜是没谱啊,感觉就是不靠谱 " B6 z" S, S+ i# J
有点感觉也不错,有时候连感觉都没有{:4_102:} |
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