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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[lastpost] => 2798799 期权数据显示，比特币到6月底有30%的概率跌破8万美元。（转） 1768904367 小作文
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.8行情虽熊 但低点支撑强硬 不予低位追空 相反埋伏短多长多 6月整体看修复
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经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
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近几日行情受消息影响、振幅较大。 4 r( p% y1 h8 M& y! ^6 v. j6 Y
但综合，下不破29000、上不过32000. , Q$ ]8 V; v' o5 u3 @ Y: H
依旧处于底部箱体阶段！ . U" B* ^* m0 R* e; [* R) G
其中也看出上涨、不具备连续性！ $ t3 x. r h& g2 V. o2 c
极易走出老韭菜口中的画门行情、 : P+ D6 @/ A" c8 L
所以操作上、尽可能避免追涨杀跌！
0 J4 e! }% B$ V) W1 u" F# V但可在空间内、逢日线高低峰值附近进行短线布局。
1 P. s% r& j) m) @技术面补充、 5 P& l1 ~$ J8 Y0 H; ?1 @+ _
在5.12创出低于5.19的26700低点后、
' z' j4 h; T/ Y& R4 }一月以来行情基本未再失守28000点， ) `2 o4 ^$ X$ B t+ n$ F; w6 B& V
而以太多次坚挺于2700上方、 7 e" Q$ ~$ X5 |$ q' ]# _7 V
充分说明这两个支撑具有极强参考性！
% E$ a+ l8 D1 V8 v( q8 x! B2 f也说明，该区域不具备更大抛压。
3 e7 L! _# a9 {/ l所以从趋势看，在6-8月间，未出现大于50基点，市场低点基本止于此。 4 d% h: B8 W$ x9 ~6 s" m
那长线来看、这两个点位，正是布局长线时机。
+ v) N/ `( k+ n& ^& j/ J短线也可以此为据、
- t: o; b1 F _% q（这也是近半月未做短空、） 5 S- i* @* L' l. z1 w2 I2 [
消息上、
9 c M" y3 `5 L3 X除bnb调查事件、
: @5 T% C9 U# u3 A近期强调最多、是多部门建议加速规范加密JG。 + G8 p/ r# M* d$ _" ^- o, j" X, o
紧密形成国际合作。
7 u M) S4 o( J% B# a& y整体偏正面，有助于大饼登堂入室、
0 ?) Q4 ?3 P" p ^2 I综上、整体来看、
0 Y- q* }% r" q3 `市场上半年经历过多利空，行情一直低迷。 8 O! V- X) J( P; ?* S
但看好下半年，最大问题“膨胀”得到控制。
+ Z# Y4 S) S& @1 H$ J且美股回温补涨、（一般加息过后、美股反涨7%-15%）
' K% U. Z& S- _6 J那在9-10月开始降息。后续再停止缩表。
7 F A0 h' H8 g1 z0 ]市场必然迎来一轮较强涨幅。
5 ?" n7 {6 s7 r& L! c$ p z! w而六月、个人是不看好有更大利空出现。 . ~2 F2 {+ q" w/ R. C
七月、即使同步加息50基点。
# C$ n+ v1 ^" U! N3 N, z个人认为、市场可承受！
( v ^- N4 v6 d8 I7 O同幅度利空，市场再次经历，幅度必大打折扣。
% y" A7 e* o- Q+ G* ?6 I/ g' }近期重点关注周五、5月末季调cpi利率。
2 O, k" P9 r0 j6 `2 R* s5 ~ G日内价格处于平均振幅偏中轨、（多空不宜）
+ H+ S, L5 X% w1 V4 f3 Z) F, E$ c大饼建议回踩4小时低点
, l$ L0 [: H- c ?+ ]; v! G29900激进接多
* T0 b. T W( S" A29650补仓
$ n/ ` ]8 N7 K9 z. k5 J防守29300 3 C' G' L6 k+ B
目标看行情修复至30800-31500-32000
: @( q% L0 ^8 r9 k以太回踩1768激进接多
" ?9 G9 {0 K/ t# o& J5 D! b' ]9 f- }1745补仓 , Z4 G- q1 z% ?' G& a, R# [
防守1720
2 @' P6 d' T' g9 @目标看行情修复至1850-1870-1900
& g( s" S% ]* w7 \观点不变，熊市强硬支撑区不做追空。 $ g+ M1 A$ j1 i: O* P' O( L
短中线，依旧以低多为主。突破则留。反之做短。
+ O+ N" ?! R- u看好7月加息前，市场出现阶段修复。
{4 l4 Q8 M8 F8 P在7月逼近出现小幅度回撤，直至8-10月、开始较大单边涨幅。 * E7 |( ~& ~3 P" l! [2 F7 r" F+ [
切记注意长线进场时机。
$ y6 `7 L/ S' u& [+ e* X: ~1 W来源：金色财经 |
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