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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
8 x9 |: e: r2 d0 B行情补充、
/ Q2 |/ X; Y, s" r& z2 ~" G在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。
( X! s+ ]! e8 A市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 ' u0 I* Y/ V L" z+ ]
关于疑问、一一回复。
$ _6 u C: ?& i1 ]( @* Q今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！
& T" I4 J3 z( b
. m$ K0 ]/ E% q+ C. W) }
首先就个人的主观来说、
, R) w, \2 b( w3 N* D对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
4 k0 F" ?/ w0 v1 ?+ ~极度憧憬市场的未来！ + P8 b6 \2 y; W- j( l8 t
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
: p( T( d9 z- H* y' S( f5 V最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 # a6 u3 ]8 B8 @
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
/ ~* y8 R6 u1 s7 M; N3 I会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 & V/ ]& ] P3 m+ Z8 |4 P% R
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 0 f; e+ q& g/ A0 [ {0 g; E% W% l
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
6 I. Y6 g. S5 u（这是最精准的抄底时机，） - h2 `0 ]* s& C. p4 A
为什么会跌、 6 z# f/ @6 O1 I; i9 t# Z+ Y5 k
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。 : v: _6 j9 Z. [% H; S9 @8 s
2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 - [8 e- W% n" m+ x, Q9 e
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
) _# u, R3 V8 ]4 h9 C' V综上造成的下跌、
6 G7 O9 E8 w- t这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、
/ Q9 O2 _2 Z8 P9 A1 L0 {也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
# K1 ?9 R' m9 o7 Q" O熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
% e0 G6 l& V$ D1 {$ {) z4 ]来决定行情是否好转。 j H, w1 a4 |0 b9 ^
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 # e. m* A' G2 }: T
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. ' f9 c; `( e8 f0 ?! C
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。 C0 Y c, ^% m0 |: c, A1 }
周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 . Y# E4 {+ C. @
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
7 ]- l7 {5 t2 J; h6 m看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 9 U' U$ a) `, n6 j4 ~
日内大饼反弹、 ( T9 c. j) y% t* s" M5 O
26150高空 $ j# i4 t- f5 d4 O/ U8 ~
26350补仓 * ?6 z3 |, k7 c% h. l" U V/ ]
26550防守
1 S5 X+ |3 v( f; @& _目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看
" j7 l3 S% A6 c' \. x0 I以太反弹
6 N5 Y) T4 a6 C( V1380高空
p+ A$ T* I7 S6 X( u1400补仓 7 e1 j) R$ J$ h
1420防守
: D3 C: p$ y8 o. t- `. x目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。
3 p6 S- ^9 w5 C4 ^5 H附言、 9 S% `- X- c; u3 h- c- {$ i
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。
$ X1 L9 f6 K- Q! l6 J; U是正常现象，
& a7 ?* B( }. y1 p7 h" p+ ~合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 ' F+ h# G. N- [$ P$ W- y. P$ U3 l$ }8 D
对于市场、依旧未来可期。
( h/ V. I' M8 {- `大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。
# {2 f; B& K0 Z& X, w0 `上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
8 w/ A6 z. M' G/ L- W: Z& ~, Z, R5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 5 M5 m+ x$ N, B, W2 Y
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 " I7 O$ R7 t2 P" i: {" x
相信七月公布时，会较理想。
1 G X: i/ e' Q! p5 G9 `但现阶段，要承受的住。 9 v* t( i6 S( f- e0 K% v
最后再强调、现货勿割。
6 v1 X1 `$ P& d. h" F25000的大饼 1300的以太、
; y# K$ j0 r, Q* P个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 & J( K, o/ S' g8 H( j) u
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。
; j D% E ~% F/ C( ?这个市场， ) P% a* [9 n* s0 L) \% V) z, c
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 2 y8 |" y( S; m+ N/ o4 M% h
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 ) D; \' l$ e7 ]9 R/ N
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。
& @9 Z: ]$ g( W5 \$ M但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
' Y- Q7 G; p1 P来源：金色财经 |
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